PollResults.org · Florida

2026 Florida Senate Race Polls

Polls tracking the 2026 U.S. Senate race in Florida. Data is synced from the New York Times, which aggregates surveys from major pollsters active in the state.

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In the most recent Florida Senate race poll (Research Co., Oct 31 - Nov 2, 2026, n=450 LV), Moody (Ashley) (R) leads with 51%, followed by Nixon (Angie) (D) at 44% and Gillespie (N) at 1%.

Data is synced continuously from the New York Times, which aggregates surveys from major pollsters. The table shows individual pollster results. The map uses the same 2026 non-partisan polling average and candidate-selection method as the homepage maps.

At a glance

Polls tracked
40
Pollsters
23
Field dates
Oct 3, 2025 – Nov 2, 2026
Stages
General election (40)
Most recent poll
Nov 2, 2026
Florida: R +7.1
Florida · R +7.1 2026 non-partisan polling · 27 polls

All polls

PollsterPartisanField datesStageSampleResultsMarginSource
Research Co.Oct 31 - Nov 2, 2026General electionn=450 LV
Moody (Ashley) (R): 51%
Nixon (Angie) (D): 44%
Don't know: 4%
R+7%link
Big Data PollOct 26 - 30, 2026General electionn=1067 LV
Moody (Ashley) (R): 51.6%
Nixon (Angie) (D): 44.7%
Gillespie (N): 3.8%
R+6.9%link
Stetson University Center for Public Opinion ResearchOct 26 - 30, 2026General electionn=859 LV
Moody (Ashley) (R): 49%
Nixon (Angie) (D): 45%
Don't know: 3%
R+4%link
Targoz Market ResearchOct 26 - 29, 2026General electionn=1013 LV
Moody (Ashley) (R): 52%
Nixon (Angie) (D): 43%
Don't know: 3%
R+9%link
InsiderAdvantageOct 28 - 29, 2026General electionn=1200 LV
Moody (Ashley) (R): 48.5%
Nixon (Angie) (D): 42.7%
Don't know: 6.4%
R+5.8%link
The Political Matrix/The Listener GroupOct 26 - 28, 2026General electionn=500 LV
Moody (Ashley) (R): 41.8%
Nixon (Angie) (D): 35.8%
Don't know: 22.4%
R+6%link
St. Pete PollsOct 25 - 27, 2026General electionn=916 LV
Moody (Ashley) (R): 49%
Nixon (Angie) (D): 44.7%
Don't know: 3.7%
R+4.3%link
ActiVoteOct 17 - 27, 2026General electionn=400 LV
Moody (Ashley) (R): 53%
Nixon (Angie) (D): 47%
R+6%link
The New York Times/Siena UniversityOct 19 - 25, 2026General electionn=813 LV
Moody (Ashley) (R): 50.35%
Nixon (Angie) (D): 44.32%
Don't know: 5.33%
R+6%link
Echelon InsightsOct 16 - 23, 2026General electionn=515 LV
Moody (Ashley) (R): 51%
Nixon (Angie) (D): 43%
Don't know: 4%
R+8%link
Workbench StrategyDemOct 18 - 22, 2026General electionn=800 LV
Moody (Ashley) (R): 49%
Nixon (Angie) (D): 47%
R+2%link
co/efficientOct 18 - 20, 2026General electionn=1014 LV
Moody (Ashley) (R): 48%
Nixon (Angie) (D): 40%
Don't know: 11%
R+8%link
University of North FloridaOct 12 - 19, 2026General electionn=1471 LV
Moody (Ashley) (R): 49%
Nixon (Angie) (D): 45%
Don't know: 5%
R+4%link
YouGovOct 2 - 15, 2026General electionn=825 RV
Republican (R): 51%
Democrat (D): 42%
Don't know: 7%
R+9%link
ActiVoteSep 27 - Oct 15, 2026General electionn=400 LV
Moody (Ashley) (R): 53.1%
Nixon (Angie) (D): 46.9%
R+6.2%link
MDW CommunicationsOct 4 - 10, 2026General electionn=2351 LV
Moody (Ashley) (R): 47.6%
Nixon (Angie) (D): 42.4%
Don't know: 10%
R+5.2%link
Stetson University Center for Public Opinion ResearchOct 1 - 9, 2026General electionn=716 LV
Moody (Ashley) (R): 52%
Nixon (Angie) (D): 41%
Don't know: 6%
R+11%link
St. Pete PollsOct 5 - 7, 2026General electionn=836 LV
Moody (Ashley) (R): 46.8%
Nixon (Angie) (D): 44.9%
Don't know: 6%
R+1.9%link
YouGovSep 28 - Oct 5, 2026General electionn=3812 LV
Moody (Ashley) (R): 49%
Nixon (Angie) (D): 44%
Don't know: 5%
R+5%link
Targoz Market ResearchSep 28 - Oct 4, 2026General electionn=847 LV
Moody (Ashley) (R): 52%
Nixon (Angie) (D): 42%
Don't know: 4%
R+10%link
Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc.Sep 28 - Oct 1, 2026General electionn=625 LV
Moody (Ashley) (R): 50%
Nixon (Angie) (D): 40%
Don't know: 8%
R+10%link
Change ResearchOtherSep 25 - 27, 2026General electionn=1063 LV
Moody (Ashley) (R): 48%
Nixon (Angie) (D): 47%
Don't know: 5%
R+1%link
Stetson University Center for Public Opinion ResearchSep 14 - 21, 2026General electionn=830 LV
Moody (Ashley) (R): 51%
Nixon (Angie) (D): 40%
Don't know: 5%
R+11%link
InsiderAdvantageSep 20 - 21, 2026General electionn=600 LV
Moody (Ashley) (R): 49.3%
Nixon (Angie) (D): 41.8%
Don't know: 6.5%
R+7.5%link
St. Pete PollsSep 15 - 17, 2026General electionn=913 LV
Moody (Ashley) (R): 45.2%
Nixon (Angie) (D): 44.8%
Don't know: 7.1%
R+0.4%link
Quantus InsightsSep 8 - 10, 2026General electionn=733 LV
Moody (Ashley) (R): 50.4%
Nixon (Angie) (D): 43%
Don't know: 3.2%
R+7.4%link
Change ResearchOtherSep 7 - 9, 2026General electionn=1107 LV
Nixon (Angie) (D): 47%
Moody (Ashley) (R): 47%
TIElink
University of North FloridaJul 8 - 17, 2026General electionn=848 LV
Moody (Ashley) (R): 50%
Nixon (Angie) (D): 41.6%
Don't know: 6%
R+8.4%link
Change ResearchOtherJun 11 - 14, 2026General electionn=1015 LV
Vindman (Alexander) (D): 46%
Moody (Ashley) (R): 46%
TIElink
Global Strategy GroupDemMay 18 - 21, 2026General electionn=1000 LV
Moody (Ashley) (R): 46%
Vindman (Alexander) (D): 43%
Don't know: 12%
R+3%link
Change ResearchOtherMay 13 - 16, 2026General electionn=2070 RV
Moody (Ashley) (R): 46%
Vindman (Alexander) (D): 41%
Don't know: 10%
R+5%link
Cherry CommunicationsRepMay 1 - 9, 2026General electionn=604 LV
Moody (Ashley) (R): 48%
Vindman (Alexander) (D): 40%
R+8%link
Stetson University Center for Public Opinion ResearchMar 25 - Apr 13, 2026General electionn=414 LV
Moody (Ashley) (R): 51%
Nixon (Angie) (D): 38%
Don't know: 7%
R+13%link
Echelon InsightsApr 3 - 9, 2026General electionn=406 LV
Moody (Ashley) (R): 50%
Vindman (Alexander) (D): 43%
Don't know: 7%
R+7%link
Public Policy PollingDemApr 2 - 3, 2026General electionn=574 RV
Moody (Ashley) (R): 43%
Vindman (Alexander) (D): 40%
Don't know: 17%
R+3%link
MDW CommunicationsMar 27 - Apr 3, 2026General electionn=1834 LV
Moody (Ashley) (R): 43.4%
Vindman (Alexander) (D): 42.2%
Don't know: 14.4%
R+1.2%link
Emerson CollegeMar 29 - 31, 2026General electionn=1125 LV
Moody (Ashley) (R): 47.3%
Nixon (Angie) (D): 36.3%
Don't know: 15.4%
R+11%link
University of North FloridaFeb 21 - Mar 2, 2026General electionn=768 LV
Moody (Ashley) (R): 46%
Nixon (Angie) (D): 38%
Don't know: 14%
R+8%link
University of North FloridaDemOct 15 - 25, 2025General electionn=728 LV
Moody (Ashley) (R): 49%
Jenkins (D): 38%
Don't know: 11%
R+11%link
The Tyson GroupOct 1 - 3, 2025General electionn=800 LV
Moody (Ashley) (R): 44%
Jenkins (D): 37%
Don't know: 19%
R+7%link

40 of 40 polls shown, most recent first. Every number is a single pollster's reported result — no polling average is calculated here. Partisan shows the source’s party flag; a blank means no partisan affiliation is marked.