In the most recent Florida 14th congressional district poll (Emerson College, Oct 12 - 14, 2026, n=315 LV), Castor (D) leads Beltran (R) 48%–43%.
Data is synced continuously from the New York Times, which aggregates surveys from major pollsters. The table shows individual pollster results. The map uses the same 2026 non-partisan polling average and candidate-selection method as the homepage maps.
At a glance
- Polls tracked
- 4
- Pollsters
- 4
- Field dates
- Jul 15, 2026 – Oct 14, 2026
- Stages
- General election (2), Primary (2)
- Most recent poll
- Oct 14, 2026
All polls
| Pollster | Partisan | Field dates | Stage | Sample | Results | Margin | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | Oct 12 - 14, 2026 | General election | n=315 LV | Castor (D): 48% Beltran (R): 43% | D+5% | link | |
| Catalyst | Rep | Aug 6 - 8, 2026 | Primary | n=556 LV | Beltran (R): 39.4% Steele (Kevin) (R): 33.2% Valenti (R): 11.5% | +6.2% | link |
| Victory Insights | Aug 4 - 6, 2026 | Primary | — | Don't know: 32.5% Steele (Kevin) (R): 32.1% Beltran (R): 22.5% | +9.6% | link | |
| St. Pete Polls | Jul 14 - 15, 2026 | General election | n=469 LV | Castor (D): 46.2% Steele (Kevin) (R): 38.5% Don't know: 15.3% | D+7.7% | link |
4 of 4 polls shown, most recent first. Every number is a single pollster's reported result — no polling average is calculated here. Partisan shows the source’s party flag; a blank means no partisan affiliation is marked.