In the most recent Florida governor race poll (Research Co., Oct 31 - Nov 2, 2026, n=450 LV), Donalds (R) leads Jolly (D) 48%–44%.
Data is synced continuously from the New York Times, which aggregates surveys from major pollsters. The table shows individual pollster results. The map uses the same 2026 non-partisan polling average and candidate-selection method as the homepage maps.
At a glance
- Polls tracked
- 79
- Pollsters
- 35
- Field dates
- Apr 6, 2024 – Nov 2, 2026
- Stages
- General election (48), Primary (31)
- Most recent poll
- Nov 2, 2026
All polls
| Pollster | Partisan | Field dates | Stage | Sample | Results | Margin | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research Co. | Oct 31 - Nov 2, 2026 | General election | n=450 LV | Donalds (R): 48% Jolly (D): 44% Don't know: 6% | R+4% | link | |
| ActiVote | Oct 20 - 31, 2026 | General election | n=400 LV | Donalds (R): 52.3% Jolly (D): 47.7% | R+4.6% | link | |
| Big Data Poll | Oct 26 - 30, 2026 | General election | n=1067 LV | Donalds (R): 47.4% Jolly (D): 44.2% Jewett (L): 2.9% | R+3.2% | link | |
| Stetson University Center for Public Opinion Research | Oct 26 - 30, 2026 | General election | n=858 LV | Donalds (R): 51% Jolly (D): 45% Don't know: 2% | R+6% | link | |
| Targoz Market Research | Oct 26 - 29, 2026 | General election | n=1014 LV | Donalds (R): 50% Jolly (D): 43% Don't know: 4% | R+7% | link | |
| InsiderAdvantage | Oct 28 - 29, 2026 | General election | n=1200 LV | Donalds (R): 49% Jolly (D): 44.9% Don't know: 3.9% | R+4.1% | link | |
| The Political Matrix/The Listener Group | Oct 26 - 28, 2026 | General election | n=500 LV | Donalds (R): 40.3% Jolly (D): 38.8% Don't know: 20.9% | R+1.5% | link | |
| St. Pete Polls | Oct 25 - 27, 2026 | General election | n=916 LV | Donalds (R): 47.8% Jolly (D): 45.5% Don't know: 3.4% | R+2.3% | link | |
| The New York Times/Siena University | Oct 19 - 25, 2026 | General election | n=813 LV | Donalds (R): 48.36% Jolly (D): 44.43% Don't know: 7.03% | R+3.9% | link | |
| Echelon Insights | Oct 16 - 23, 2026 | General election | n=515 LV | Donalds (R): 50% Jolly (D): 44% Don't know: 5% | R+6% | link | |
| Workbench Strategy | Dem | Oct 18 - 22, 2026 | General election | n=800 LV | Jolly (D): 48% Donalds (R): 46% | D+2% | link |
| co/efficient | Oct 18 - 20, 2026 | General election | n=1014 LV | Donalds (R): 49% Jolly (D): 40% Don't know: 11% | R+9% | link | |
| ActiVote | Oct 1 - 19, 2026 | General election | n=400 LV | Donalds (R): 51.7% Jolly (D): 48.3% | R+3.4% | link | |
| University of North Florida | Oct 12 - 19, 2026 | General election | n=1471 LV | Donalds (R): 49% Jolly (D): 47% Don't know: 4% | R+2% | link | |
| YouGov | Oct 2 - 15, 2026 | General election | n=825 RV | Donalds (R): 50% Jolly (D): 42% Don't know: 7% | R+8% | link | |
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates | Rep | Oct 8 - 11, 2026 | General election | n=1200 LV | Donalds (R): 46% Jolly (D): 39% Don't know: 13% | R+7% | link |
| MDW Communications | Oct 4 - 10, 2026 | General election | n=2351 LV | Donalds (R): 45.9% Jolly (D): 43.8% Don't know: 10.3% | R+2.1% | link | |
| Change Research | Other | Oct 8 - 10, 2026 | General election | n=920 LV | Donalds (R): 47% Jolly (D): 47% Don't know: 5% | TIE | link |
| Stetson University Center for Public Opinion Research | Oct 1 - 9, 2026 | General election | n=716 LV | Donalds (R): 52% Jolly (D): 41% Don't know: 5% | R+11% | link | |
| St. Pete Polls | Oct 5 - 7, 2026 | General election | n=836 LV | Donalds (R): 44.7% Jolly (D): 44.6% Don't know: 6.9% | R+0.1% | link | |
| YouGov | Sep 28 - Oct 5, 2026 | General election | n=3813 LV | Donalds (R): 47% Jolly (D): 45% Don't know: 7% | R+2% | link | |
| Targoz Market Research | Sep 28 - Oct 4, 2026 | General election | n=849 LV | Donalds (R): 52% Jolly (D): 42% Don't know: 3% | R+10% | link | |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. | Sep 28 - Oct 1, 2026 | General election | n=625 LV | Donalds (R): 48% Jolly (D): 41% Don't know: 10% | R+7% | link | |
| Change Research | Other | Sep 25 - 27, 2026 | General election | n=1063 LV | Jolly (D): 48% Donalds (R): 46% Don't know: 5% | D+2% | link |
| Stetson University Center for Public Opinion Research | Sep 14 - 21, 2026 | General election | n=830 LV | Donalds (R): 51% Jolly (D): 39% Don't know: 5% | R+12% | link | |
| St. Pete Polls | Sep 15 - 17, 2026 | General election | n=913 LV | Donalds (R): 43.5% Jolly (D): 43.4% Don't know: 8.9% | R+0.1% | link | |
| Change Research | Other | Sep 7 - 9, 2026 | General election | n=1107 LV | Jolly (D): 47% Donalds (R): 44% | D+3% | link |
| Hart Research Associates | Dem | Aug 10 - 13, 2026 | General election | n=600 LV | Jolly (D): 46% Donalds (R): 45% Don't know: 9% | D+1% | link |
| Quantus Insights | Rep | Jul 27 - 29, 2026 | Primary | n=635 LV | Donalds (R): 49.6% Collins (Jay) (R): 15.7% Don't know: 13.5% | +33.9% | link |
| Targoz Market Research | Jul 20 - 26, 2026 | General election | n=1026 LV | Donalds (R): 45% Jolly (D): 38% DK/Someone else: 17% | R+7% | link | |
| The Political Matrix/The Listener Group | Jul 21 - 22, 2026 | Primary | n=1020 LV | Donalds (R): 32.2% Don't know: 31.6% Renner (R): 18.8% | +13.4% | link | |
| University of North Florida | Jul 8 - 17, 2026 | General election | n=848 LV | Donalds (R): 46.1% Jolly (D): 41.4% Don't know: 6.4% | R+4.7% | link | |
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates | Rep | Jul 14 - 16, 2026 | Primary | n=400 LV | Donalds (R): 53% Don't know: 23% Collins (Jay) (R): 10% | +43% | link |
| Cygnal Political | Jul 12 - 13, 2026 | Primary | n=500 LV | Donalds (R): 43% Don't know: 31% Fishback (R): 12% | +31% | link | |
| The Tyson Group | Jul 8 - 11, 2026 | Primary | n=600 LV | Donalds (R): 48% Don't know: 26% Collins (Jay) (R): 9% | +39% | link | |
| Kaplan Strategies | NPA | Jun 8 - 9, 2026 | General election | n=668 LV | Donalds (R): 34.9% Jolly (D): 29.8% Don't know: 28.2% | R+5.1% | link |
| McLaughlin & Associates | Jun 3 - 7, 2026 | Primary | n=386 LV | Donalds (R): 54% Don't know: 31% Fishback (R): 8% | +46% | link | |
| The Political Matrix/The Listener Group | May 31 - Jun 3, 2026 | Primary | n=973 LV | Donalds (R): 29% Renner (R): 14% Collins (Jay) (R): 11% | +15% | link | |
| Change Research | Other | May 13 - 16, 2026 | General election | n=2070 RV | Donalds (R): 43% Jolly (D): 41% Don't know: 11% | R+2% | link |
| Cherry Communications | Rep | May 1 - 9, 2026 | General election | n=604 LV | Donalds (R): 48% Demings (Jerry) (D): 39% | R+9% | link |
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates | Rep | Apr 26 - 30, 2026 | Primary | n=420 LV | Donalds (R): 54% Don't know: 28% Fishback (R): 9% | +45% | link |
| Stetson University Center for Public Opinion Research | Mar 25 - Apr 13, 2026 | General election | n=848 LV | Donalds (R): 46% Demings (Jerry) (D): 42% Don't know: 7% | R+4% | link | |
| Echelon Insights | Apr 3 - 9, 2026 | General election | n=406 LV | Donalds (R): 48% Demings (Jerry) (D): 44% Don't know: 7% | R+4% | link | |
| MDW Communications | Mar 27 - Apr 3, 2026 | General election | n=1834 LV | Donalds (R): 41.2% Jolly (D): 40.5% Don't know: 18.3% | R+0.7% | link | |
| Tarrance Group | Rep | Mar 30 - Apr 2, 2026 | Primary | n=466 LV | Donalds (R): 50% Don't know: 27% Fishback (R): 9% | +41% | link |
| Emerson College | Mar 29 - 31, 2026 | General election | n=1125 LV | DeSantis (Casey) (R): 40.9% Demings (Jerry) (D): 39.1% Don't know: 17.4% | R+1.8% | link | |
| University of North Florida | Feb 21 - Mar 2, 2026 | General election | n=773 LV | Donalds (R): 43% Demings (Jerry) (D): 36% Don't know: 16% | R+7% | link | |
| The American Promise | Feb 23 - 26, 2026 | Primary | n=800 LV | Don't know: 44% Donalds (R): 44% Fishback (R): 5% | +39% | link | |
| Targoz Market Research | Feb 20 - 22, 2026 | Primary | n=471 LV | Don't know: 44% Jolly (D): 31% Demings (Jerry) (D): 23% | +8% | link | |
| The Public Sentiment Institute | Feb 20 - 20, 2026 | General election | n=124 LV | Jolly (D): 40.1% Fishback (R): 32.9% Don't know: 25.3% | D+7.2% | link | |
| University of North Florida | Feb 16 - 20, 2026 | Primary | n=657 LV | Don't know: 53% Donalds (R): 31% Fishback (R): 6% | +25% | link | |
| Targoz Market Research | Feb 13 - 16, 2026 | General election | — | Donalds (R): 41% Jolly (D): 36% Don't know: 17% | R+5% | link | |
| Patriot Polling | Jan 19 - 29, 2026 | Primary | n=827 LV | Don't know: 40.1% Donalds (R): 37.4% Fishback (R): 22.6% | +14.8% | link | |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. | Jan 8 - 13, 2026 | Primary | n=400 RV | Don't know: 58% Jolly (D): 23% Demings (Jerry) (D): 19% | +4% | link | |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. | Jan 8 - 13, 2026 | Primary | n=400 RV | Don't know: 49% Donalds (R): 37% Collins (Jay) (R): 7% | +30% | link | |
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates | Rep | Jan 4 - 6, 2026 | Primary | n=600 LV | Donalds (R): 47% Don't know: 43% Fishback (R): 5% | +42% | link |
| Public Opinion Strategies | Rep | Dec 7 - 11, 2025 | Primary | n=700 LV | Donalds (R): 40% Don't know: 38% Collins (Jay) (R): 13% | +27% | link |
| The American Promise | Dec 8 - 9, 2025 | Primary | n=800 LV | Don't know: 49% Donalds (R): 38% Collins (Jay) (R): 9% | +29% | link | |
| Public Policy Polling | Dem | Dec 2 - 3, 2025 | Primary | n=616 LV | Don't know: 56% Jolly (D): 22% Demings (Jerry) (D): 22% | TIE | link |
| The American Promise | Nov 17 - 19, 2025 | Primary | n=800 LV | Don't know: 51% Donalds (R): 43% Renner (R): 2% | +41% | link | |
| Victory Insights | Nov 11 - 13, 2025 | Primary | n=600 LV | Don't know: 49.9% Donalds (R): 45% Renner (R): 2.7% | +42.3% | link | |
| University of North Florida | Dem | Oct 15 - 25, 2025 | General election | n=728 LV | DeSantis (Casey) (R): 47% Demings (Jerry) (D): 36% Don't know: 14% | R+11% | link |
| St. Pete Polls | Oct 13 - 15, 2025 | Primary | n=1034 LV | Donalds (R): 52.1% Don't know: 36.4% Collins (Jay) (R): 11.5% | +40.6% | link | |
| Targoz Market Research | Sep 16 - 18, 2025 | General election | n=1123 RV | Renner (R): 34% Jolly (D): 33% Don't know: 28% | R+1% | link | |
| Bendixen & Amandi International | Dem | Sep 7 - 9, 2025 | General election | n=631 LV | Renner (R): 42% Jolly (D): 40% Don't know: 18% | R+2% | link |
| The American Promise | Sep 4 - 5, 2025 | Primary | n=800 LV | Don't know: 54% Donalds (R): 40% Renner (R): 2% | +38% | link | |
| Cygnal Political | Rep | Aug 25 - 27, 2025 | General election | n=1000 LV | Republican (R): 50.6% Democrat (D): 38% Don't know: 11.5% | R+12.6% | link |
| McLaughlin & Associates | Aug 25 - 27, 2025 | General election | n=800 LV | Donalds (R): 49% Jolly (D): 41% Don't know: 11% | R+8% | link | |
| University of North Florida | Jul 14 - 22, 2025 | Primary | n=797 RV | DeSantis (Casey) (R): 32% Donalds (R): 29% Don't know: 18% | +3% | link | |
| St. Pete Polls | Jul 8 - 10, 2025 | Primary | n=831 LV | Don't know: 47.2% Donalds (R): 43.6% Simpson (Wilton) (R): 4.1% | +39.5% | link | |
| Victory Insights | Jun 7 - 10, 2025 | General election | n=600 LV | Donalds (R): 36.7% Don't know: 31.9% Jolly (D): 31.4% | R+5.3% | link | |
| Targoz Market Research | May 5 - 7, 2025 | General election | n=1144 RV | DeSantis (Casey) (R): 39% Cava (D): 35% Don't know: 18% | R+4% | link | |
| Targoz Market Research | Apr 15 - 22, 2025 | Primary | n=619 RV | DeSantis (Casey) (R): 27% Donalds (R): 24% Don't know: 18% | +3% | link | |
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates | Rep | Feb 26 - 27, 2025 | Primary | n=600 LV | Donalds (R): 34% DeSantis (Casey) (R): 30% Simpson (Wilton) (R): 3% | +4% | link |
| Victory Insights | Jan 26 - 27, 2025 | Primary | n=850 LV | Don't know: 61.2% Donalds (R): 33.8% Simpson (Wilton) (R): 5% | +28.8% | link | |
| Cygnal Political | Oct 26 - 28, 2024 | General election | n=600 LV | Republican (R): 48.1% Democrat (D): 40.9% Don't know: 11% | R+7.2% | link | |
| Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research | Jun 8 - 9, 2024 | Primary | — | DeSantis (Casey) (R): 43% Donalds (R): 19% Moody (Ashley) (R): 14% | +24% | link | |
| Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research | Apr 15 - 17, 2024 | Primary | — | DeSantis (Casey) (R): 38% Don't know: 26% Someone else: 20% | +22% | link | |
| Victory Insights | Apr 3 - 6, 2024 | Primary | n=1200 LV | Don't know: 42.5% Donalds (R): 20.6% Someone else: 14.1% | +7.8% | link |
79 of 79 polls shown, most recent first. Every number is a single pollster's reported result — no polling average is calculated here. Partisan shows the source’s party flag; a blank means no partisan affiliation is marked.