In the most recent Ohio 15th congressional district poll (Hart Research Associates, Oct 9 - 12, 2026), Leonard (D) leads Carey (R) 48%–45%.
Data is synced continuously from the New York Times, which aggregates surveys from major pollsters. The table shows individual pollster results. The map uses the same 2026 non-partisan polling average and candidate-selection method as the homepage maps.
At a glance
- Polls tracked
- 4
- Pollsters
- 1
- Field dates
- Jun 25, 2026 – Oct 12, 2026
- Stages
- General election (4)
- Most recent poll
- Oct 12, 2026
All polls
| Pollster | Partisan | Field dates | Stage | Sample | Results | Margin | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hart Research Associates | Dem | Oct 9 - 12, 2026 | General election | — | Leonard (D): 48% Carey (R): 45% | D+3% | link |
| Hart Research Associates | Dem | Sep 22 - 24, 2026 | General election | n=500 LV | Democrat (D): 48% Republican (R): 47% | D+1% | link |
| Hart Research Associates | Dem | Aug 6 - 9, 2026 | General election | n=401 LV | Carey (R): 41% Leonard (D): 37% Barrington (L): 10% | R+4% | link |
| Hart Research Associates | Dem | Jun 23 - 25, 2026 | General election | n=550 LV | Carey (R): 45% Leonard (D): 40% Barrington (L): 3% | R+5% | link |
4 of 4 polls shown, most recent first. Every number is a single pollster's reported result — no polling average is calculated here. Partisan shows the source’s party flag; a blank means no partisan affiliation is marked.