Primary polling only. No general-election polls are currently available for this race.
In the most recent California 23rd district primary poll (Change Research, Mar 17 - 20, 2026, n=601 LV), Obernolte (R) leads with 48.36%, followed by Hodge (Tessa Lynn) (D) at 5.26%, Matthews (I) at 4.49%, Claiborne (D) at 2.58% and Wallis (D) at 2.55%, and 3 others.
Data is synced continuously from the New York Times, which aggregates surveys from major pollsters. The table shows individual pollster results. The map uses the same 2026 non-partisan polling average and candidate-selection method as the homepage maps.
At a glance
- Polls tracked
- 1
- Pollsters
- 1
- Field dates
- Mar 20, 2026 – Mar 20, 2026
- Stages
- Primary (1)
- Most recent poll
- Mar 20, 2026
All polls
| Pollster | Partisan | Field dates | Stage | Sample | Results | Margin | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Change Research | Ind | Mar 17 - 20, 2026 | Primary | n=601 LV | Obernolte (R): 48.36% Don't know: 28.35% Hodge (Tessa Lynn) (D): 5.26% | +43.1% | link |
1 of 1 poll shown, most recent first. Every number is a single pollster's reported result — no polling average is calculated here. Partisan shows the source’s party flag; a blank means no partisan affiliation is marked.