In the most recent California governor race poll (ActiVote, Oct 17 - 31, 2026, n=400 LV), Becerra (D) leads Hilton (R) 63.2%–36.8%.
Data is synced continuously from the New York Times, which aggregates surveys from major pollsters. The table shows individual pollster results. The map uses the same 2026 non-partisan polling average and candidate-selection method as the homepage maps.
At a glance
- Polls tracked
- 85
- Pollsters
- 32
- Field dates
- Sep 25, 2024 – Oct 31, 2026
- Stages
- General election (19), Primary (66)
- Most recent poll
- Oct 31, 2026
All polls
| Pollster | Partisan | Field dates | Stage | Sample | Results | Margin | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ActiVote | Oct 17 - 31, 2026 | General election | n=400 LV | Becerra (D): 63.2% Hilton (R): 36.8% | D+26.4% | link | |
| University of California Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies | Oct 19 - 25, 2026 | General election | n=1477 LV | Becerra (D): 61% Hilton (R): 34% Don't know: 5% | D+27% | link | |
| SurveyUSA | Oct 19 - 24, 2026 | General election | n=799 LV | Becerra (D): 54% Hilton (R): 32% Don't know: 14% | D+22% | link | |
| Public Policy Institute of California | Oct 16 - 22, 2026 | General election | n=1086 LV | Becerra (D): 61% Hilton (R): 37% Don't know: 1% | D+24% | link | |
| McLaughlin & Associates | Oct 17 - 20, 2026 | General election | n=800 LV | Becerra (D): 55% Hilton (R): 39.3% Don't know: 4.9% | D+15.7% | link | |
| Emerson College | Oct 17 - 19, 2026 | General election | n=1000 LV | Becerra (D): 63.63% Hilton (R): 36.37% | D+27.3% | link | |
| ActiVote | Sep 24 - Oct 16, 2026 | General election | n=400 LV | Becerra (D): 62.8% Hilton (R): 37.2% | D+25.6% | link | |
| TrueDot | Oct 9 - 14, 2026 | General election | n=909 LV | Becerra (D): 55% Hilton (R): 35% Don't know: 10% | D+20% | link | |
| Manhattan Institute | Sep 24 - Oct 1, 2026 | General election | n=1000 LV | Becerra (D): 57% Hilton (R): 39% Don't know: 3% | D+18% | link | |
| IVC Media | Sep 23 - 28, 2026 | General election | n=2906 LV | Becerra (D): 48% Hilton (R): 38% Don't know: 11% | D+10% | link | |
| SurveyUSA | Sep 15 - 20, 2026 | General election | n=742 LV | Becerra (D): 55% Hilton (R): 33% Don't know: 12% | D+22% | link | |
| University of California Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies | Sep 15 - 20, 2026 | General election | n=4512 LV | Becerra (D): 58% Hilton (R): 33% Don't know: 9% | D+25% | link | |
| TrueDot | Sep 8 - 14, 2026 | General election | n=1983 LV | Becerra (D): 54% Hilton (R): 36% Don't know: 8% | D+18% | link | |
| Public Policy Institute of California | Sep 4 - 10, 2026 | General election | n=1098 LV | Becerra (D): 60% Hilton (R): 38% Don't know: 1% | D+22% | link | |
| University of California Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies | Aug 3 - 9, 2026 | General election | n=2310 LV | Becerra (D): 55% Hilton (R): 37% Don't know: 7% | D+18% | link | |
| Public Policy Institute of California | Jun 29 - Jul 6, 2026 | General election | n=1003 LV | Becerra (D): 61% Hilton (R): 36% Don't know: 2% | D+25% | link | |
| Kreate Strategies | Jun 13 - 17, 2026 | General election | n=900 RV | Becerra (D): 58% Hilton (R): 33% Don't know: 8% | D+25% | link | |
| SurveyUSA | May 28 - 31, 2026 | Primary | n=1124 LV | Steyer (D): 20% Hilton (R): 20% Becerra (D): 17% | TIE | link | |
| McLaughlin & Associates | May 26 - 28, 2026 | Primary | n=800 LV | Steyer (D): 25% Hilton (R): 25% Becerra (D): 19% | TIE | link | |
| Public Policy Polling | Dem | May 27 - 28, 2026 | Primary | n=686 LV | Steyer (D): 21% Hilton (R): 20% Becerra (D): 18% | +1% | link |
| Emerson College | May 27 - 28, 2026 | Primary | n=1000 LV | Becerra (D): 28.4% Steyer (D): 22.6% Hilton (R): 22.5% | +5.8% | link | |
| Kreate Strategies | May 23 - 27, 2026 | Primary | n=900 LV | Becerra (D): 27% Hilton (R): 26% Steyer (D): 20% | +1% | link | |
| David Binder Research | May 26 - 27, 2026 | Primary | n=565 LV | Hilton (R): 27% Becerra (D): 26% Steyer (D): 22% | +1% | link | |
| University of Southern California/California State University Long Beach Center for Urban Politics and Policy/Cal Poly Pomona | May 23 - 26, 2026 | General election | n=735 LV | Steyer (D): 31% Porter (D): 30% Don't know: 21% | D+1% | link | |
| University of California Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies | May 19 - 24, 2026 | General election | n=8578 RV | Becerra (D): 52% Hilton (R): 31% Don't know: 17% | D+21% | link | |
| Echelon Insights | Rep | May 18 - 21, 2026 | Primary | — | Hilton (R): 25% Steyer (D): 18% Becerra (D): 15% | +7% | link |
| Global Strategy Group | Dem | May 18 - 21, 2026 | Primary | n=1050 LV | Hilton (R): 22% Becerra (D): 19% Steyer (D): 19% | +3% | link |
| Public Policy Institute of California | May 14 - 18, 2026 | Primary | n=983 LV | Becerra (D): 23% Hilton (R): 20% Steyer (D): 15% | +3% | link | |
| Evitarus | Dem | May 14 - 16, 2026 | Primary | n=1200 LV | Hilton (R): 22% Becerra (D): 21% Don't know: 16% | +1% | link |
| Emerson College | May 9 - 10, 2026 | Primary | n=1000 LV | Becerra (D): 20.3% Steyer (D): 18.9% Hilton (R): 17.7% | +1.4% | link | |
| Kreate Strategies | May 5 - 9, 2026 | Primary | n=900 LV | Hilton (R): 22% Becerra (D): 20% Steyer (D): 14% | +2% | link | |
| Mellman Group | Dem | May 3 - 6, 2026 | Primary | n=600 LV | Hilton (R): 20% Becerra (D): 20% Bianco (R): 14% | TIE | link |
| Impact Research | Dem | Apr 28 - May 3, 2026 | Primary | n=900 LV | Hilton (R): 23% Becerra (D): 23% Steyer (D): 14% | TIE | link |
| Evitarus | Dem | Apr 30 - May 2, 2026 | Primary | n=1200 LV | Becerra (D): 18% Hilton (R): 18% Don't know: 16% | TIE | link |
| SurveyUSA | Apr 28 - May 1, 2026 | Primary | n=991 LV | Hilton (R): 20% Steyer (D): 18% Don't know: 17% | +2% | link | |
| YouGov | Apr 23 - 27, 2026 | Primary | n=1421 LV | Don't know: 26% Hilton (R): 16% Steyer (D): 15% | +1% | link | |
| Rodriguez Gudelunas Strategies | Apr 23 - 27, 2026 | Primary | n=800 LV | Becerra (D): 24% Hilton (R): 23% Steyer (D): 15% | +1% | link | |
| EMC Research | Dem | Apr 21 - 26, 2026 | Primary | n=1000 LV | Becerra (D): 21% Hilton (R): 20% Steyer (D): 17% | +1% | link |
| IVC Media | Apr 14 - 20, 2026 | Primary | n=3404 LV | Becerra (D): 23.03% Hilton (R): 19.7% Bianco (R): 16.68% | +3.3% | link | |
| Kreate Strategies | Apr 12 - 18, 2026 | Primary | n=900 LV | Don't know: 23% Hilton (R): 18% Steyer (D): 16% | +2% | link | |
| Rodriguez Gudelunas Strategies | Apr 14 - 18, 2026 | Primary | n=800 LV | Hilton (R): 20% Steyer (D): 15% Becerra (D): 15% | +5% | link | |
| Evitarus | Dem | Apr 15 - 17, 2026 | Primary | n=1200 LV | Don't know: 22% Hilton (R): 16% Bianco (R): 14% | +2% | link |
| Emerson College | Apr 14 - 15, 2026 | Primary | n=1000 LV | Don't know: 23% Hilton (R): 16.6% Bianco (R): 14.4% | +2.2% | link | |
| SurveyUSA | Apr 8 - 10, 2026 | Primary | n=788 LV | Steyer (D): 21% Don't know: 18% Hilton (R): 18% | +3% | link | |
| David Binder Research | Dem | Apr 1 - 6, 2026 | Primary | n=800 LV | Hilton (R): 22% Swalwell (D): 18% Bianco (R): 13% | +4% | link |
| Evitarus | Dem | Mar 31 - Apr 5, 2026 | Primary | n=1200 LV | Don't know: 26% Hilton (R): 14% Bianco (R): 14% | TIE | link |
| Public Policy Institute of California | Mar 26 - Apr 3, 2026 | Primary | n=1003 LV | Swalwell (D): 18% Hilton (R): 17% Steyer (D): 14% | +1% | link | |
| Kreate Strategies | Mar 23 - 29, 2026 | Primary | n=700 LV | Don't know: 20.24% Hilton (R): 18.67% Swalwell (D): 13.38% | +5.3% | link | |
| Echelon Insights | Rep | Mar 12 - 17, 2026 | Primary | n=600 LV | Hilton (R): 20% Don't know: 16% Swalwell (D): 15% | +5% | link |
| Evitarus | Dem | Mar 12 - 17, 2026 | Primary | n=2000 LV | Don't know: 27% Hilton (R): 16% Bianco (R): 14% | +2% | link |
| University of California Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies | Mar 9 - 15, 2026 | Primary | n=3889 LV | Hilton (R): 17% DK/Someone else: 16% Bianco (R): 16% | +1% | link | |
| Emerson College | Mar 7 - 9, 2026 | Primary | n=1000 LV | Don't know: 24.5% Swalwell (D): 17.3% Hilton (R): 13.3% | +4% | link | |
| TrueDot | Feb 25 - Mar 3, 2026 | Primary | n=1004 LV | Hilton (R): 19% Don't know: 17% Steyer (D): 13% | +6% | link | |
| Global Strategy Group | Dem | Feb 27 - Mar 2, 2026 | Primary | n=1340 LV | Hilton (R): 20% Steyer (D): 16% Bianco (R): 15% | +4% | link |
| IVC Media | Feb 13 - 20, 2026 | Primary | n=868 RV | Bianco (R): 23.29% Swalwell (D): 17.89% Hilton (R): 14.95% | +5.4% | link | |
| Emerson College | Feb 13 - 14, 2026 | Primary | n=1000 LV | Don't know: 21.2% Hilton (R): 17.1% Swalwell (D): 14.1% | +3% | link | |
| Public Policy Institute of California | Feb 3 - 11, 2026 | Primary | n=1049 LV | Hilton (R): 14% Porter (D): 13% Bianco (R): 12% | +1% | link | |
| Tavern Research | Dem | Feb 2 - 5, 2026 | Primary | n=1097 LV | Don't know: 25% Bianco (R): 20% Hilton (R): 12% | +8% | link |
| EMC Research | Dem | Jan 29 - Feb 4, 2026 | Primary | n=1400 LV | Bianco (R): 21% Swalwell (D): 18% Hilton (R): 17% | +3% | link |
| Global Strategy Group | Dem | Jan 29 - Feb 3, 2026 | Primary | — | Bianco (R): 18% Hilton (R): 18% Swalwell (D): 14% | TIE | link |
| J. Wallin Opinion Research | Rep | Jan 29 - Feb 1, 2026 | Primary | n=1000 RV | Don't know: 16% Hilton (R): 14% Steyer (D): 12% | +2% | link |
| RBI Strategies & Research | Jan 25 - 29, 2026 | Primary | n=800 LV | Hilton (R): 16% Bianco (R): 15% Swalwell (D): 14% | +1% | link | |
| Tulchin Research | Dem | Jan 22 - 28, 2026 | Primary | n=1000 LV | Don't know: 15% Bianco (R): 15% Hilton (R): 15% | TIE | link |
| Public Policy Polling | Dem | Jan 20 - 21, 2026 | Primary | n=1001 RV | Bianco (R): 18% Hilton (R): 17% Porter (D): 14% | +1% | link |
| David Binder Research | Dem | Jan 17 - 20, 2026 | Primary | n=800 LV | Don't know: 25% Bianco (R): 17% Hilton (R): 14% | +3% | link |
| CivicLens Research | Dec 14 - 16, 2025 | Primary | n=400 LV | Don't know: 31.1% Hilton (R): 17.8% Bianco (R): 13.9% | +3.9% | link | |
| FM3 Research | Nov 30 - Dec 7, 2025 | Primary | n=821 LV | Don't know: 20% Hilton (R): 18% Swalwell (D): 17% | +1% | link | |
| Emerson College | Dec 1 - 2, 2025 | Primary | n=1000 RV | Don't know: 31% Bianco (R): 13.3% Swalwell (D): 11.5% | +1.8% | link | |
| Lake Research Partners | Dem | Nov 17 - 20, 2025 | Primary | n=600 LV | Don't know: 22% Hilton (R): 17% Porter (D): 15% | +2% | link |
| Public Policy Institute of California | Nov 13 - 19, 2025 | Primary | n=1079 LV | Porter (D): 21% Hilton (R): 14% Becerra (D): 14% | +7% | link | |
| Tavern Research | Dem | Oct 27 - 30, 2025 | Primary | n=1001 LV | Don't know: 29% Bianco (R): 16% Porter (D): 15% | +1% | link |
| University of California Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies | Oct 20 - 27, 2025 | Primary | n=8141 RV | Don't know: 44% Bianco (R): 13% Porter (D): 11% | +2% | link | |
| Emerson College | Oct 20 - 21, 2025 | Primary | n=900 LV | Don't know: 39.1% Hilton (R): 15.7% Porter (D): 14.7% | +1% | link | |
| Bold Decision | Oct 16 - 21, 2025 | Primary | n=509 LV | Don't know: 29% Bianco (R): 14% Hilton (R): 13% | +1% | link | |
| Emerson College | Sep 15 - 16, 2025 | Primary | n=1000 RV | Don't know: 35.6% Porter (D): 15.5% Hilton (R): 9.8% | +5.7% | link | |
| Evitarus | Aug 28 - Sep 16, 2025 | Primary | n=2000 LV | Porter (D): 21% Don't know: 17% Bianco (R): 17% | +4% | link | |
| John Zogby Strategies | Sep 7 - 9, 2025 | Primary | n=1000 LV | Don't know: 42.3% Hilton (R): 32.7% Bianco (R): 25% | +7.7% | link | |
| University of California Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies | Aug 11 - 17, 2025 | Primary | n=4950 RV | Don't know: 38% Porter (D): 17% Bianco (R): 10% | +7% | link | |
| TrueDot | Jul 28 - Aug 12, 2025 | Primary | n=1445 RV | Porter (D): 21% Bianco (R): 15% Hilton (R): 10% | +6% | link | |
| Emerson College | Aug 4 - 5, 2025 | Primary | n=1000 RV | Don't know: 38.2% Porter (D): 17.6% Hilton (R): 11.8% | +5.8% | link | |
| Emerson College | Apr 12 - 14, 2025 | Primary | n=911 RV | Don't know: 38.9% Harris (D): 31.2% Porter (D): 7.7% | +23.5% | link | |
| Capitol Weekly | Feb 3 - 5, 2025 | Primary | n=692 RV | Harris (D): 23% Cox (R): 21% Porter (D): 16% | +2% | link | |
| Breakthrough Campaigns | Dem | Nov 22 - 26, 2024 | Primary | n=610 LV | Porter (D): 21% Garvey (R): 18% Don't know: 12% | +3% | link |
| David Binder Research | Dem | Oct 10 - 15, 2024 | Primary | — | Cox (R): 27% Kounalakis (D): 18% Villaraigosa (D): 9% | +9% | link |
| University of Southern California/California State University Long Beach Center for Urban Politics and Policy/Cal Poly Pomona | Sep 12 - 25, 2024 | Primary | n=1685 LV | Don't know: 49.7% Porter (D): 14% Dahle (R): 5.3% | +8.7% | link |
85 of 85 polls shown, most recent first. Every number is a single pollster's reported result — no polling average is calculated here. Partisan shows the source’s party flag; a blank means no partisan affiliation is marked.