In the most recent California 1st congressional district poll (USC Democracy and Fair Elections Lab, Oct 22 - 26, 2026, n=444 LV), McGuire (D) leads Gallagher (James) (R) 56%–41%.
Data is synced continuously from the New York Times, which aggregates surveys from major pollsters. The table shows individual pollster results. The map uses the same 2026 non-partisan polling average and candidate-selection method as the homepage maps.
At a glance
- Polls tracked
- 2
- Pollsters
- 2
- Field dates
- Feb 28, 2026 – Oct 26, 2026
- Stages
- General election (1), Primary (1)
- Most recent poll
- Oct 26, 2026
All polls
| Pollster | Partisan | Field dates | Stage | Sample | Results | Margin | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USC Democracy and Fair Elections Lab | Oct 22 - 26, 2026 | General election | n=444 LV | McGuire (D): 56% Gallagher (James) (R): 41% Would not vote: 2% | D+15% | link | |
| David Binder Research | Dem | Feb 24 - 28, 2026 | Primary | n=700 LV | McGuire (D): 33% Gallagher (James) (R): 30% Denney (D): 18% | +3% | link |
2 of 2 polls shown, most recent first. Every number is a single pollster's reported result — no polling average is calculated here. Partisan shows the source’s party flag; a blank means no partisan affiliation is marked.