In the most recent Alaska Senate race poll (InsiderAdvantage, Oct 31 - Nov 1, 2026, n=1200 LV), Peltola (D) leads with 48.3%, followed by Sullivan (Dan) (R) at 48.1%, Dan J. Sullivan (R) at 2% and Heikes (R) at 0.5%.
Data is synced continuously from the New York Times, which aggregates surveys from major pollsters. The table shows individual pollster results. The map uses the same 2026 non-partisan polling average and candidate-selection method as the homepage maps.
At a glance
- Polls tracked
- 29
- Pollsters
- 11
- Field dates
- Apr 25, 2023 – Nov 1, 2026
- Stages
- General election (29)
- Most recent poll
- Nov 1, 2026
All polls
| Pollster | Partisan | Field dates | Stage | Sample | Results | Margin | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| InsiderAdvantage | Oct 31 - Nov 1, 2026 | General election | n=1200 LV | Peltola (D): 48.3% Sullivan (Dan) (R): 48.1% Dan J. Sullivan (R): 2% | D+0.2% | link | |
| AtlasIntel | Oct 28 - Nov 1, 2026 | General election | n=522 LV | Peltola (D): 50.1% Sullivan (Dan) (R): 44.6% Heikes (R): 2.5% | D+5.5% | link | |
| The New York Times/Siena University | Oct 23 - 30, 2026 | General election | n=610 LV | Peltola (D): 47.6% Sullivan (Dan) (R): 46.2% Don't know: 6.1% | D+1.4% | link | |
| Alaska Survey Research | Oct 26 - 29, 2026 | General election | n=1326 LV | Peltola (D): 50.8% Sullivan (Dan) (R): 49.2% | D+1.6% | link | |
| Data for Progress | Oct 8 - 16, 2026 | General election | n=671 LV | Peltola (D): 51% Sullivan (Dan) (R): 49% | D+2% | link | |
| InsiderAdvantage | Oct 9 - 10, 2026 | General election | n=1200 LV | Peltola (D): 48.2% Sullivan (Dan) (R): 42.6% Don't know: 5.3% | D+5.6% | link | |
| Alaska Survey Research | Oct 1 - 3, 2026 | General election | n=1512 LV | Peltola (D): 51% Sullivan (Dan) (R): 49% | D+2% | link | |
| The New York Times/Siena University | Sep 24 - Oct 1, 2026 | General election | n=504 LV | Peltola (D): 50.07% Sullivan (Dan) (R): 43.07% Don't know: 6.26% | D+7% | link | |
| Quantus Insights | Sep 28 - 30, 2026 | General election | n=758 LV | Sullivan (Dan) (R): 46.5% Peltola (D): 46.2% Don't know: 4.8% | R+0.3% | link | |
| Trafalgar Group | Rep | Sep 22 - 24, 2026 | General election | n=1079 LV | Sullivan (Dan) (R): 46.8% Peltola (D): 45.5% Don't know: 4.1% | R+1.3% | link |
| co/efficient | Sep 14 - 17, 2026 | General election | n=799 LV | Sullivan (Dan) (R): 49% Peltola (D): 46% Don't know: 5% | R+3% | link | |
| Alaska Survey Research | Sep 10 - 12, 2026 | General election | n=1352 LV | Peltola (D): 51.9% Sullivan (Dan) (R): 48.1% | D+3.8% | link | |
| Fabrizio Ward/Impact Research | Sep 8 - 11, 2026 | General election | n=800 LV | Peltola (D): 53% Sullivan (Dan) (R): 47% | D+6% | link | |
| Alaska Survey Research | Aug 20 - 23, 2026 | General election | n=1495 LV | Peltola (D): 50.6% Sullivan (Dan) (R): 49.4% | D+1.2% | link | |
| Alaska Survey Research | Aug 2 - 5, 2026 | General election | n=1371 LV | Peltola (D): 50.8% Sullivan (Dan) (R): 49.2% | D+1.6% | link | |
| Data for Progress | Jul 28 - Aug 4, 2026 | General election | n=567 LV | Peltola (D): 53% Sullivan (Dan) (R): 47% | D+6% | link | |
| The New York Times/Siena University | Jun 15 - 29, 2026 | General election | n=593 LV | Sullivan (Dan) (R): 47.47% Peltola (D): 45.06% Don't know: 5.35% | R+2.4% | link | |
| Alaska Survey Research | Jun 4 - 7, 2026 | General election | n=1393 LV | Peltola (D): 49.4% Sullivan (Dan) (R): 44.2% Heikes (R): 3.7% | D+5.2% | link | |
| Alaska Survey Research | May 14 - 17, 2026 | General election | n=1401 LV | Peltola (D): 48.4% Sullivan (Dan) (R): 43.8% Darden (R): 5.1% | D+4.6% | link | |
| Alaska Survey Research | Apr 16 - 19, 2026 | General election | n=1946 LV | Peltola (D): 50.2% Sullivan (Dan) (R): 43.6% Ryan (James) (R): 6.2% | D+6.6% | link | |
| Alaska Survey Research | Mar 19 - 22, 2026 | General election | n=1340 RV | Peltola (D): 52.4% Sullivan (Dan) (R): 47.6% | D+4.8% | link | |
| Public Policy Polling | Dem | Jan 16 - 17, 2026 | General election | n=611 RV | Peltola (D): 49% Sullivan (Dan) (R): 47% Don't know: 4% | D+2% | link |
| Alaska Survey Research | Jan 8 - 11, 2026 | General election | n=1681 LV | Peltola (D): 48% Sullivan (Dan) (R): 46.4% Don't know: 5.6% | D+1.6% | link | |
| The Tyson Group | Nov 11 - 13, 2025 | General election | n=600 LV | Democrat (D): 43% Sullivan (Dan) (R): 39% | D+4% | link | |
| Data for Progress | Oct 17 - 23, 2025 | General election | n=823 RV | Peltola (D): 46% Sullivan (Dan) (R): 45% Neither: 5% | D+1% | link | |
| Alaska Survey Research | Oct 10 - 15, 2025 | General election | n=1708 LV | Peltola (D): 47.7% Sullivan (Dan) (R): 45.9% Don't know: 6.3% | D+1.8% | link | |
| Alaska Survey Research | Jul 29 - Aug 1, 2025 | General election | n=1613 LV | Sullivan (Dan) (R): 46.7% Peltola (D): 42.5% Don't know: 10.9% | R+4.2% | link | |
| Data for Progress | Jul 21 - 27, 2025 | General election | n=678 LV | Sullivan (Dan) (R): 46% Peltola (D): 45% Neither: 5% | R+1% | link | |
| Alaska Survey Research | Apr 21 - 25, 2023 | General election | n=1261 LV | Peltola (D): 44% Sullivan (Dan) (R): 41% Don't know: 15% | D+3% | link |
29 of 29 polls shown, most recent first. Every number is a single pollster's reported result — no polling average is calculated here. Partisan shows the source’s party flag; a blank means no partisan affiliation is marked.