PollResults.org · Minnesota

2026 Minnesota Senate Race Polls

Polls tracking the 2026 U.S. Senate race in Minnesota. Data is synced from the New York Times, which aggregates surveys from major pollsters active in the state.

All Races Browse All Polls

In the most recent Minnesota Senate race poll (Research Co., Oct 30 - Nov 1, 2026, n=450 LV), Flanagan (Peggy) (D) leads Tafoya (R) 48%–43%.

Data is synced continuously from the New York Times, which aggregates surveys from major pollsters. The table shows individual pollster results. The map uses the same 2026 non-partisan polling average and candidate-selection method as the homepage maps.

At a glance

Polls tracked
40
Pollsters
22
Field dates
Feb 15, 2025 – Nov 1, 2026
Stages
General election (24), Primary (16)
Most recent poll
Nov 1, 2026
Minnesota: D +6.1
Minnesota · D +6.1 2026 non-partisan polling · 8 polls

All polls

PollsterPartisanField datesStageSampleResultsMarginSource
Research Co.Oct 30 - Nov 1, 2026General electionn=450 LV
Flanagan (Peggy) (D): 48%
Tafoya (R): 43%
Don't know: 7%
D+5%link
AtlasIntelOct 28 - Nov 1, 2026General electionn=2133 LV
Flanagan (Peggy) (D): 48.1%
Tafoya (R): 45.7%
Would not vote: 2.5%
D+2.4%link
Survey 160Oct 27 - Nov 1, 2026General electionn=1365 LV
Flanagan (Peggy) (D): 52%
Tafoya (R): 43%
Don't know: 2%
D+9%link
InsiderAdvantageOct 29 - 30, 2026General electionn=1200 LV
Flanagan (Peggy) (D): 49.3%
Tafoya (R): 46.4%
Whiting (L): 2.7%
D+2.9%link
SurveyUSAOct 24 - 28, 2026General electionn=714 LV
Flanagan (Peggy) (D): 48%
Tafoya (R): 41%
Don't know: 7%
D+7%link
The New York Times/Siena UniversityOct 19 - 26, 2026General electionn=752 LV
Flanagan (Peggy) (D): 54.21%
Tafoya (R): 40.31%
Don't know: 5.26%
D+13.9%link
Victory InsightsRepOct 21 - 22, 2026General electionn=1194 LV
Flanagan (Peggy) (D): 47.8%
Tafoya (R): 44.4%
Don't know: 5.6%
D+3.4%link
Trafalgar GroupRepOct 13 - 15, 2026General electionn=1079 LV
Flanagan (Peggy) (D): 48.1%
Tafoya (R): 44.6%
Don't know: 5.4%
D+3.5%link
SurveyUSAOct 9 - 12, 2026General electionn=718 LV
Flanagan (Peggy) (D): 45%
Tafoya (R): 42%
Don't know: 9%
D+3%link
Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc.Oct 5 - 7, 2026General electionn=800 LV
Flanagan (Peggy) (D): 47%
Tafoya (R): 43%
Don't know: 9%
D+4%link
Morning ConsultOct 2 - 7, 2026General electionn=1000 RV
Flanagan (Peggy) (D): 45%
Tafoya (R): 41%
Don't know: 12%
D+4%link
GQRDemOct 1 - 4, 2026General electionn=800 LV
Flanagan (Peggy) (D): 53%
Tafoya (R): 44%
D+9%link
Big Data PollSep 29 - 30, 2026General electionn=622 LV
Flanagan (Peggy) (D): 45.8%
Tafoya (R): 43.6%
Simonetti (I): 5.4%
D+2.2%link
InsiderAdvantageSep 28 - 29, 2026General electionn=1200 LV
Flanagan (Peggy) (D): 46%
Tafoya (R): 45%
Don't know: 6%
D+1%link
co/efficientSep 14 - 15, 2026General electionn=833 LV
Republican (R): 47%
Democrat (D): 46%
Don't know: 7%
R+1%link
SurveyUSASep 9 - 14, 2026General electionn=654 LV
Flanagan (Peggy) (D): 42%
Tafoya (R): 42%
Don't know: 12%
TIElink
Quantus InsightsSep 8 - 10, 2026General electionn=720 LV
Flanagan (Peggy) (D): 48.9%
Tafoya (R): 45.4%
Don't know: 2.7%
D+3.5%link
TIPP InsightsRepAug 31 - Sep 2, 2026General electionn=1192 LV
Flanagan (Peggy) (D): 43.96%
Tafoya (R): 41.86%
Don't know: 7.95%
D+2.1%link
SurveyUSAAug 13 - 17, 2026General electionn=661 LV
Flanagan (Peggy) (D): 46%
Tafoya (R): 41%
Don't know: 11%
D+5%link
SurveyUSAJul 29 - Aug 4, 2026Primaryn=458 LV
Tafoya (R): 48%
Don't know: 24%
White (R): 13%
+35%link
Deep Root AnalyticsRepAug 3 - 4, 2026Primaryn=652 LV
Tafoya (R): 47%
Schwarze (R): 18%
Don't know: 15%
+29%link
Public Policy PollingDemJul 23 - 24, 2026Primaryn=672 LV
Flanagan (Peggy) (D): 46%
Craig (D): 32%
Don't know: 22%
+14%link
SurveyUSAJul 15 - 20, 2026Primaryn=513 LV
Flanagan (Peggy) (D): 40%
Craig (D): 40%
Don't know: 16%
TIElink
Public Policy PollingDemJun 25 - 26, 2026Primaryn=604 LV
Flanagan (Peggy) (D): 43%
Craig (D): 36%
Don't know: 22%
+7%link
SurveyUSAJun 11 - 16, 2026Primaryn=450 LV
Tafoya (R): 36%
Don't know: 27%
White (R): 15%
+21%link
Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc.Jun 8 - 10, 2026General electionn=800 LV
Democrat (D): 49%
Republican (R): 41%
Don't know: 9%
D+8%link
GQRDemMay 31 - Jun 3, 2026Primaryn=500 LV
Flanagan (Peggy) (D): 55%
Craig (D): 38%
Don't know: 7%
+17%link
Impact ResearchDemMay 26 - 28, 2026General electionn=808 LV
Flanagan (Peggy) (D): 51%
Tafoya (R): 44%
D+7%link
Global Strategy GroupDemMay 26 - 28, 2026Primaryn=600 LV
Craig (D): 43%
Flanagan (Peggy) (D): 42%
Don't know: 13%
+1%link
Quantus InsightsMay 6 - 8, 2026Primaryn=663 LV
Tafoya (R): 51.8%
Don't know: 27.3%
White (R): 8.9%
+42.9%link
Public Policy PollingDemApr 29 - 30, 2026Primaryn=652 LV
Flanagan (Peggy) (D): 44%
Craig (D): 33%
Don't know: 23%
+11%link
Emerson CollegeFeb 6 - 8, 2026General electionn=1000 LV
Craig (D): 46.6%
Tafoya (R): 40.2%
Don't know: 8.8%
D+6.4%link
Peak InsightsRepJan 31 - Feb 1, 2026Primaryn=500 LV
Tafoya (R): 41%
Don't know: 34%
White (R): 11%
+30%link
GQRDemJan 14 - 20, 2026Primaryn=600 LV
Flanagan (Peggy) (D): 49%
Craig (D): 36%
Don't know: 15%
+13%link
Public Policy PollingDemJan 16 - 17, 2026Primaryn=976 LV
Flanagan (Peggy) (D): 40%
Don't know: 31%
Craig (D): 28%
+12%link
Impact ResearchDemJan 13 - 15, 2026Primaryn=600 LV
Flanagan (Peggy) (D): 45%
Craig (D): 42%
Don't know: 9%
+3%link
Public Policy PollingSep 15 - 16, 2025General electionn=1015 LV
Craig (D): 47%
Republican (R): 43%
D+4%link
Impact ResearchDemJul 8 - 11, 2025General electionn=604 LV
Flanagan (Peggy) (D): 48%
Tafoya (R): 45%
Don't know: 7%
D+3%link
NRSCJul 4 - 7, 2025Primaryn=559 LV
Don't know: 45%
Flanagan (Peggy) (D): 30%
Craig (D): 24%
+6%link
Public Policy PollingFeb 14 - 15, 2025Primaryn=668 LV
Flanagan (Peggy) (D): 52%
Craig (D): 22%
+30%link

40 of 40 polls shown, most recent first. Every number is a single pollster's reported result — no polling average is calculated here. Partisan shows the source’s party flag; a blank means no partisan affiliation is marked.