PollResults.org · Michigan

2026 Michigan Senate Race Polls

Polls tracking the 2026 U.S. Senate race in Michigan. Data is synced from the New York Times, which aggregates surveys from major pollsters active in the state.

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In the most recent Michigan Senate race poll (John Zogby Strategies, Oct 31 - Nov 2, 2026, n=1001 LV), El-Sayed (D) leads Rogers (Mike) (R) 51%–49%.

Data is synced continuously from the New York Times, which aggregates surveys from major pollsters. The table shows individual pollster results. The map uses the same 2026 non-partisan polling average and candidate-selection method as the homepage maps.

At a glance

Polls tracked
89
Pollsters
46
Field dates
Mar 6, 2025 – Nov 2, 2026
Stages
General election (68), Primary (21)
Most recent poll
Nov 2, 2026
Michigan: D +2.0
Michigan · D +2.0 2026 non-partisan polling · 35 polls

All polls

PollsterPartisanField datesStageSampleResultsMarginSource
John Zogby StrategiesOct 31 - Nov 2, 2026General electionn=1001 LV
El-Sayed (D): 51%
Rogers (Mike) (R): 49%
D+2%link
The New York Times/Siena UniversityOct 23 - Nov 1, 2026General electionn=1011 LV
El-Sayed (D): 52.6%
Rogers (Mike) (R): 41.6%
Don't know: 5.7%
D+11%link
Trafalgar GroupRepOct 31 - Nov 1, 2026General electionn=1087 LV
El-Sayed (D): 47.1%
Rogers (Mike) (R): 45.9%
Don't know: 4.8%
D+1.2%link
Research Co.Oct 30 - Nov 1, 2026General electionn=450 LV
El-Sayed (D): 48%
Rogers (Mike) (R): 46%
Don't know: 5%
D+2%link
Concord Public Opinion PartnersDemOct 30 - Nov 1, 2026General electionn=510 LV
El-Sayed (D): 51%
Rogers (Mike) (R): 41%
Don't know: 4%
D+10%link
AtlasIntelOct 28 - Nov 1, 2026General electionn=1316 LV
El-Sayed (D): 53.5%
Rogers (Mike) (R): 46.4%
Don't know: 0.1%
D+7.1%link
Emerson CollegeNov 1 - 1, 2026General electionn=500 LV
El-Sayed (D): 51.2%
Rogers (Mike) (R): 45.2%
Christensen (L): 3.2%
D+6%link
YouGovOct 26 - 29, 2026General electionn=2088 LV
El-Sayed (D): 51%
Rogers (Mike) (R): 47%
Would not vote: 1%
D+4%link
CNN/SSRSOct 20 - 27, 2026General electionn=768 LV
El-Sayed (D): 49%
Rogers (Mike) (R): 42%
Neither: 5%
D+7%link
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsOct 26 - 27, 2026General electionn=636 LV
El-Sayed (D): 51%
Rogers (Mike) (R): 44%
Don't know: 3%
D+7%link
Data for ProgressOct 23 - 25, 2026General electionn=622 LV
El-Sayed (D): 50%
Rogers (Mike) (R): 46%
Don't know: 3%
D+4%link
Upswing ResearchDemOct 24 - 25, 2026General electionn=505 LV
El-Sayed (D): 50%
Rogers (Mike) (R): 45%
D+5%link
Michigan State University Office for Survey Research/VerasightOct 8 - 23, 2026General electionn=1383 LV
El-Sayed (D): 51.4%
Rogers (Mike) (R): 42.2%
Someone else: 6.4%
D+9.2%link
Glengariff Group, Inc.Oct 19 - 22, 2026General electionn=600 LV
El-Sayed (D): 51.4%
Rogers (Mike) (R): 45.1%
Don't know: 3.6%
D+6.3%link
InsiderAdvantageOct 21 - 22, 2026General electionn=1200 LV
El-Sayed (D): 47.2%
Rogers (Mike) (R): 46%
Don't know: 2.7%
D+1.2%link
Michigan State University Institute for Public Policy and Social Research/YouGovOct 2 - 19, 2026General electionn=836 LV
El-Sayed (D): 48%
Rogers (Mike) (R): 45.5%
DK/Someone else: 6.5%
D+2.5%link
Marist UniversityOct 15 - 18, 2026General electionn=1185 RV
El-Sayed (D): 52%
Rogers (Mike) (R): 45%
Don't know: 3%
D+7%link
InsiderAdvantageOct 9 - 10, 2026General electionn=1200 LV
El-Sayed (D): 47.8%
Rogers (Mike) (R): 45.5%
Don't know: 5.4%
D+2.3%link
The Tyson GroupRepOct 6 - 8, 2026General electionn=600 LV
Rogers (Mike) (R): 46%
El-Sayed (D): 44%
R+2%link
Quantus InsightsOct 5 - 6, 2026General electionn=744 LV
El-Sayed (D): 48.4%
Rogers (Mike) (R): 47.2%
Don't know: 2.7%
D+1.2%link
YouGovSep 22 - Oct 4, 2026General electionn=3947 LV
El-Sayed (D): 49%
Rogers (Mike) (R): 48%
Don't know: 2%
D+1%link
Z to A ResearchDemSep 28 - Oct 1, 2026General electionn=483 LV
El-Sayed (D): 49%
Rogers (Mike) (R): 42%
Don't know: 3%
D+7%link
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsOct 1 - 1, 2026General electionn=682 LV
El-Sayed (D): 45.6%
Rogers (Mike) (R): 41.4%
Don't know: 6%
D+4.2%link
Trafalgar GroupRepSep 28 - 30, 2026General electionn=1085 LV
El-Sayed (D): 46.9%
Rogers (Mike) (R): 45.1%
Don't know: 5%
D+1.8%link
Beacon Research/Shaw & Company ResearchSep 24 - 28, 2026General electionn=1203 RV
El-Sayed (D): 51%
Rogers (Mike) (R): 48%
Don't know: 1%
D+3%link
Guidant Polling and StrategyOtherSep 20 - 27, 2026General electionn=800 LV
El-Sayed (D): 49%
Rogers (Mike) (R): 45%
D+4%link
The Tyson GroupRepSep 24 - 27, 2026General electionn=600 LV
El-Sayed (D): 44%
Rogers (Mike) (R): 43%
D+1%link
Marist UniversitySep 24 - 27, 2026General electionn=1235 RV
El-Sayed (D): 51%
Rogers (Mike) (R): 44%
Don't know: 4%
D+7%link
Big Data PollSep 22 - 24, 2026General electionn=725 RV
El-Sayed (D): 45.4%
Rogers (Mike) (R): 41%
D+4.4%link
co/efficientSep 21 - 23, 2026General electionn=843 LV
Democrat (D): 47%
Republican (R): 46%
Don't know: 7%
D+1%link
GBAODemSep 19 - 22, 2026General electionn=800 LV
El-Sayed (D): 48%
Rogers (Mike) (R): 44%
D+4%link
The New York Times/Siena UniversitySep 15 - 22, 2026General electionn=605 LV
El-Sayed (D): 49.45%
Rogers (Mike) (R): 44.5%
Don't know: 5.16%
D+5%link
Cygnal/Beacon ResearchSep 18 - 21, 2026General electionn=600 LV
El-Sayed (D): 45%
Rogers (Mike) (R): 40%
Don't know: 13%
D+5%link
Suffolk UniversitySep 16 - 20, 2026General electionn=500 LV
El-Sayed (D): 46.8%
Rogers (Mike) (R): 39.6%
Don't know: 11%
D+7.2%link
Torchlight StrategiesRepSep 15 - 19, 2026General electionn=643 LV
Rogers (Mike) (R): 44.4%
El-Sayed (D): 43.1%
Don't know: 8.5%
R+1.3%link
InsiderAdvantageSep 16 - 17, 2026General electionn=1200 LV
El-Sayed (D): 46.6%
Rogers (Mike) (R): 44.7%
Don't know: 5.4%
D+1.9%link
The Washington Post/George Mason University Schar School of Policy and GovernmentSep 10 - 14, 2026General electionn=803 LV
El-Sayed (D): 48%
Rogers (Mike) (R): 45%
Would not vote: 3%
D+3%link
Emerson CollegeSep 12 - 14, 2026General electionn=1000 LV
El-Sayed (D): 48.19%
Rogers (Mike) (R): 45.72%
Don't know: 4.42%
D+2.5%link
Trafalgar GroupRepSep 7 - 9, 2026General electionn=1079 LV
El-Sayed (D): 46.3%
Rogers (Mike) (R): 44.8%
Don't know: 6.8%
D+1.5%link
CNN/SSRSAug 31 - Sep 6, 2026General electionn=843 LV
El-Sayed (D): 47%
Rogers (Mike) (R): 44%
Neither: 5%
D+3%link
Glengariff Group, Inc.Aug 31 - Sep 3, 2026General electionn=600 LV
Rogers (Mike) (R): 45.8%
El-Sayed (D): 44.4%
DK/Someone else: 9.4%
R+1.4%link
EPIC-MRAAug 22 - 28, 2026General electionn=600 LV
El-Sayed (D): 47%
Rogers (Mike) (R): 43%
Don't know: 10%
D+4%link
Abacus DataAug 26 - 28, 2026General electionn=332 LV
El-Sayed (D): 47%
Rogers (Mike) (R): 42%
Someone else: 6%
D+5%link
Michigan State University Institute for Public Policy and Social Research/YouGovAug 10 - 20, 2026General electionn=779 LV
El-Sayed (D): 50%
Rogers (Mike) (R): 45%
D+5%link
Susquehanna Polling & Research, Inc.Aug 11 - 17, 2026General electionn=800 RV
El-Sayed (D): 46%
Rogers (Mike) (R): 39%
Don't know: 11%
D+7%link
Fabrizio Ward/Impact ResearchAug 9 - 11, 2026General electionn=877 LV
El-Sayed (D): 48%
Rogers (Mike) (R): 47%
Don't know: 5%
D+1%link
GBAODemAug 6 - 10, 2026General electionn=800 LV
El-Sayed (D): 50%
Rogers (Mike) (R): 44%
D+6%link
TIPP InsightsRepAug 6 - 10, 2026General electionn=1215 LV
El-Sayed (D): 45.44%
Rogers (Mike) (R): 42.27%
Someone else: 6.63%
D+3.2%link
Beacon Research/Shaw & Company ResearchAug 6 - 10, 2026General electionn=1006 RV
Rogers (Mike) (R): 51%
El-Sayed (D): 47%
Don't know: 2%
R+4%link
EPIC-MRAJul 24 - 31, 2026General electionn=600 LV
Rogers (Mike) (R): 46%
El-Sayed (D): 43%
R+3%link
Zenith ResearchDemJul 26 - 30, 2026Primaryn=536 LV
El-Sayed (D): 53%
Stevens (D): 34%
Don't know: 11%
+19%link
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsJul 28 - 29, 2026General electionn=672 LV
El-Sayed (D): 45%
Rogers (Mike) (R): 45%
Don't know: 10%
TIElink
Tavern ResearchJul 26 - 27, 2026Primaryn=914 LV
El-Sayed (D): 48%
Stevens (D): 37%
Don't know: 15%
+11%link
Emerson CollegeJul 26 - 27, 2026Primaryn=700 LV
El-Sayed (D): 57.1%
Stevens (D): 40.8%
McMorrow (D): 2.1%
+16.3%link
Glengariff Group, Inc.Jul 22 - 24, 2026General electionn=600 LV
Rogers (Mike) (R): 49%
El-Sayed (D): 38.7%
Don't know: 10.7%
R+10.3%link
Tulchin ResearchDemJul 13 - 15, 2026Primaryn=500 LV
El-Sayed (D): 56%
Stevens (D): 40%
Don't know: 4%
+16%link
Data for ProgressDemJul 10 - 14, 2026Primaryn=614 LV
El-Sayed (D): 54%
Stevens (D): 41%
Don't know: 5%
+13%link
Glengariff Group, Inc.Jul 8 - 11, 2026Primaryn=500 LV
Stevens (D): 48.2%
El-Sayed (D): 41.4%
Don't know: 10.2%
+6.8%link
Tavern ResearchJul 6 - 7, 2026Primaryn=2211 LV
Stevens (D): 42%
El-Sayed (D): 41%
Don't know: 18%
+1%link
Quantus InsightsJun 29 - 30, 2026General electionn=947 LV
Stevens (D): 45.1%
Rogers (Mike) (R): 43.7%
Don't know: 8.4%
D+1.4%link
Tulchin ResearchDemJun 24 - 28, 2026Primaryn=500 LV
El-Sayed (D): 46%
Stevens (D): 27%
McMorrow (D): 17%
+19%link
Data for ProgressDemJun 15 - 22, 2026General electionn=709 LV
Rogers (Mike) (R): 46%
Stevens (D): 45%
Don't know: 9%
R+1%link
Susquehanna Polling & Research, Inc.Jun 9 - 14, 2026Primaryn=205 LV
Don't know: 49%
El-Sayed (D): 22%
Stevens (D): 20%
+2%link
Zenith ResearchDemJun 11 - 14, 2026General electionn=602 LV
Stevens (D): 43%
Rogers (Mike) (R): 42%
Don't know: 13%
D+1%link
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsJun 11 - 13, 2026General electionn=827 LV
El-Sayed (D): 47%
Rogers (Mike) (R): 42%
Don't know: 11%
D+5%link
Tulchin ResearchDemJun 2 - 4, 2026General electionn=500 LV
El-Sayed (D): 46%
Rogers (Mike) (R): 41%
Don't know: 13%
D+5%link
Lake Research PartnersDemMay 26 - 28, 2026Primaryn=600 LV
El-Sayed (D): 34%
Stevens (D): 31%
McMorrow (D): 19%
+3%link
Tulchin ResearchDemMay 19 - 25, 2026Primaryn=500 LV
El-Sayed (D): 41%
Stevens (D): 23%
Don't know: 18%
+18%link
TIPP InsightsRepMay 20 - 23, 2026General electionn=1163 LV
McMorrow (D): 45.16%
Rogers (Mike) (R): 41.6%
Don't know: 8.42%
D+3.6%link
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsMay 1 - 7, 2026General electionn=606 LV
Rogers (Mike) (R): 42%
Stevens (D): 39%
Don't know: 19%
R+3%link
Glengariff Group, Inc.Apr 28 - May 1, 2026General electionn=600 LV
Rogers (Mike) (R): 43.8%
Stevens (D): 41.5%
Don't know: 14.7%
R+2.3%link
Glengariff Group, Inc.Apr 17 - 19, 2026Primaryn=500 LV
Don't know: 36%
Stevens (D): 24.9%
El-Sayed (D): 22.9%
+2%link
Emerson CollegeApr 11 - 13, 2026Primaryn=452 LV
Rogers (Mike) (R): 55.2%
Don't know: 37.8%
Benham (R): 2.1%
+53.1%link
Data for ProgressApr 2 - 8, 2026Primaryn=515 LV
Don't know: 33%
Stevens (D): 23%
McMorrow (D): 22%
+1%link
Global Strategy GroupDemMar 19 - 22, 2026Primaryn=800 LV
McMorrow (D): 30%
El-Sayed (D): 25%
Stevens (D): 23%
+5%link
Upswing ResearchOtherFeb 26 - Mar 2, 2026Primaryn=600 LV
Stevens (D): 27%
Don't know: 26%
McMorrow (D): 25%
+2%link
Impact ResearchDemFeb 10 - 16, 2026Primaryn=800 LV
Stevens (D): 28%
El-Sayed (D): 26%
McMorrow (D): 25%
+2%link
Emerson CollegeJan 24 - 25, 2026General electionn=1000 LV
Rogers (Mike) (R): 42.8%
El-Sayed (D): 42.5%
Don't know: 14.6%
R+0.3%link
Glengariff Group, Inc.Jan 2 - 6, 2026General electionn=600 LV
Rogers (Mike) (R): 48%
El-Sayed (D): 41.6%
Don't know: 10.2%
R+6.4%link
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsNov 18 - 21, 2025General electionn=616 LV
Rogers (Mike) (R): 42%
Stevens (D): 40%
Don't know: 18%
R+2%link
EPIC-MRANov 6 - 11, 2025General electionn=600 LV
McMorrow (D): 43%
Rogers (Mike) (R): 42%
Don't know: 15%
D+1%link
Rosetta StoneOct 23 - 25, 2025General electionn=637 LV
Rogers (Mike) (R): 47%
Stevens (D): 40%
Don't know: 12%
R+7%link
NRSCJul 4 - 7, 2025Primaryn=582 LV
Don't know: 42%
Stevens (D): 24%
El-Sayed (D): 22%
+2%link
Fabrizio, Lee & AssociatesRepJun 17 - 19, 2025Primaryn=600 LV
Rogers (Mike) (R): 48%
Don't know: 32%
Huizenga (R): 20%
+28%link
Normington, Petts & AssociatesDemJun 12 - 16, 2025General electionn=700 LV
Stevens (D): 47%
Rogers (Mike) (R): 45%
Don't know: 8%
D+2%link
Global Strategy GroupDemMay 28 - Jun 2, 2025Primaryn=800 LV
Don't know: 37%
Stevens (D): 24%
McMorrow (D): 20%
+4%link
Public Policy PollingDemMay 22 - 23, 2025Primaryn=486 LV
Don't know: 43%
Rogers (Mike) (R): 36%
Pensler (R): 22%
+14%link
Glengariff Group, Inc.May 5 - 8, 2025General electionn=600 RV
Stevens (D): 45.1%
Huizenga (R): 39.1%
Don't know: 15.5%
D+6%link
Target InsyghtMar 3 - 6, 2025General electionn=600 RV
Buttigieg (D): 46%
Rogers (Mike) (R): 44%
Don't know: 11%
D+2%link

89 of 89 polls shown, most recent first. Every number is a single pollster's reported result — no polling average is calculated here. Partisan shows the source’s party flag; a blank means no partisan affiliation is marked.