In the most recent Kansas Senate race poll (AtlasIntel, Oct 28 - Nov 1, 2026, n=2038 LV), Hamilton (D) leads Marshall (R) 51.9%–44.9%.
Data is synced continuously from the New York Times, which aggregates surveys from major pollsters. The table shows individual pollster results. The map uses the same 2026 non-partisan polling average and candidate-selection method as the homepage maps.
At a glance
- Polls tracked
- 23
- Pollsters
- 16
- Field dates
- Jan 28, 2026 – Nov 1, 2026
- Stages
- General election (21), Primary (2)
- Most recent poll
- Nov 1, 2026
All polls
| Pollster | Partisan | Field dates | Stage | Sample | Results | Margin | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlasIntel | Oct 28 - Nov 1, 2026 | General election | n=2038 LV | Hamilton (D): 51.9% Marshall (R): 44.9% Someone else: 1.6% | D+7% | link | |
| Survey 160 | Oct 27 - Nov 1, 2026 | General election | n=1267 LV | Hamilton (D): 50% Marshall (R): 44% Someone else: 4% | D+6% | link | |
| The New York Times/Siena University | Oct 27 - Nov 1, 2026 | General election | n=736 LV | Hamilton (D): 49% Marshall (R): 43.9% Graham (L): 4.4% | D+5.1% | link | |
| YouGov | Oct 26 - 29, 2026 | General election | n=2086 LV | Hamilton (D): 50% Marshall (R): 49% Someone else: 1% | D+1% | link | |
| Emerson College | Oct 26 - 28, 2026 | General election | n=800 LV | Hamilton (D): 49.5% Marshall (R): 47.1% Graham (L): 3.4% | D+2.4% | link | |
| CNN/SSRS | Oct 20 - 26, 2026 | General election | n=838 LV | Hamilton (D): 49% Marshall (R): 45% Neither: 4% | D+4% | link | |
| The Washington Post/George Mason University Schar School of Policy and Government | Oct 22 - 26, 2026 | General election | n=801 LV | Hamilton (D): 54% Marshall (R): 44% Would not vote: 1% | D+10% | link | |
| InsiderAdvantage | Oct 13 - 14, 2026 | General election | n=1200 LV | Marshall (R): 47.7% Hamilton (D): 46.6% Graham (L): 3.4% | R+1.1% | link | |
| InsiderAdvantage | Oct 9 - 10, 2026 | General election | n=1200 LV | Hamilton (D): 47.5% Marshall (R): 46.7% Graham (L): 3.4% | D+0.8% | link | |
| YouGov | Sep 24 - Oct 4, 2026 | General election | n=2253 LV | Hamilton (D): 48% Marshall (R): 45% Don't know: 5% | D+3% | link | |
| GBAO | Dem | Sep 30 - Oct 4, 2026 | General election | n=600 LV | Hamilton (D): 46% Marshall (R): 41% Graham (L): 7% | D+5% | link |
| Trafalgar Group | Rep | Sep 29 - Oct 1, 2026 | General election | n=1095 LV | Hamilton (D): 44.4% Marshall (R): 43.5% Don't know: 10.1% | D+0.9% | link |
| The New York Times/Siena University | Sep 22 - 30, 2026 | General election | n=605 LV | Marshall (R): 46.67% Hamilton (D): 46.39% Don't know: 6.6% | R+0.3% | link | |
| Emerson College | Sep 15 - 16, 2026 | General election | n=750 LV | Hamilton (D): 44.75% Marshall (R): 43.3% Don't know: 8.25% | D+1.5% | link | |
| Global Strategy Group | Dem | Sep 13 - 16, 2026 | General election | n=800 LV | Hamilton (D): 49% Marshall (R): 47% | D+2% | link |
| co/efficient | Sep 8 - 10, 2026 | General election | n=915 LV | Republican (R): 51% Democrat (D): 45% Don't know: 4% | R+6% | link | |
| Global Strategy Group | Dem | Aug 12 - 16, 2026 | General election | n=800 LV | Hamilton (D): 44% Marshall (R): 43% Graham (L): 5% | D+1% | link |
| Public Policy Polling | Dem | Aug 7 - 8, 2026 | General election | — | Marshall (R): 46% Hamilton (D): 45% Don't know: 9% | R+1% | link |
| GBAO | Dem | Jul 13 - 16, 2026 | Primary | n=600 LV | Hamilton (D): 30% Davis (Christy) (D): 13% Taylor (Noah) (D): 10% | +17% | link |
| GBAO | Dem | Jul 8 - 13, 2026 | General election | n=600 LV | Marshall (R): 47% Hamilton (D): 43% | R+4% | link |
| Change Research | Jun 11 - 15, 2026 | Primary | n=1022 LV | Don't know: 55% Hamilton (D): 18% Davis (Christy) (D): 10% | +8% | link | |
| GQR | Dem | Apr 23 - 27, 2026 | General election | n=500 LV | Marshall (R): 49% Schmidt (Patrick) (D): 45% Don't know: 6% | R+4% | link |
| Tavern Research | Jan 26 - 28, 2026 | General election | n=1013 LV | Independent (I): 62% Democrat (D): 38% | I+24% | link |
23 of 23 polls shown, most recent first. Every number is a single pollster's reported result — no polling average is calculated here. Partisan shows the source’s party flag; a blank means no partisan affiliation is marked.