In the most recent Iowa Senate race poll (AtlasIntel, Oct 28 - Nov 1, 2026, n=1219 LV), Turek (D) leads Hinson (R) 50.5%–46.4%.
Data is synced continuously from the New York Times, which aggregates surveys from major pollsters. The table shows individual pollster results. The map uses the same 2026 non-partisan polling average and candidate-selection method as the homepage maps.
At a glance
- Polls tracked
- 48
- Pollsters
- 28
- Field dates
- Dec 7, 2024 – Nov 1, 2026
- Stages
- General election (40), Primary (8)
- Most recent poll
- Nov 1, 2026
All polls
| Pollster | Partisan | Field dates | Stage | Sample | Results | Margin | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlasIntel | Oct 28 - Nov 1, 2026 | General election | n=1219 LV | Turek (D): 50.5% Hinson (R): 46.4% Someone else: 2.7% | D+4.1% | link | |
| The New York Times/Siena University | Oct 26 - Nov 1, 2026 | General election | n=705 LV | Turek (D): 47.6% Hinson (R): 46.9% Don't know: 4.8% | D+0.7% | link | |
| GrayHouse | Oct 28 - 31, 2026 | General election | n=601 LV | Hinson (R): 48% Turek (D): 46% Don't know: 4% | R+2% | link | |
| YouGov | Oct 26 - 29, 2026 | General election | n=2016 LV | Turek (D): 50% Hinson (R): 49% Someone else: 1% | D+1% | link | |
| co/efficient | Oct 28 - 28, 2026 | General election | n=1020 LV | Hinson (R): 48% Turek (D): 46% Don't know: 6% | R+2% | link | |
| Echelon Insights | Oct 16 - 23, 2026 | General election | n=403 LV | Turek (D): 45% Hinson (R): 43% Laehn (L): 7% | D+2% | link | |
| InsiderAdvantage | Oct 21 - 22, 2026 | General election | n=1200 LV | Hinson (R): 47% Turek (D): 45.5% Don't know: 4.4% | R+1.5% | link | |
| co/efficient | Oct 15 - 19, 2026 | General election | n=863 LV | Hinson (R): 48% Turek (D): 45% Don't know: 6% | R+3% | link | |
| Trafalgar Group | Rep | Oct 13 - 15, 2026 | General election | n=1094 LV | Hinson (R): 45.9% Turek (D): 44.2% Don't know: 6.4% | R+1.7% | link |
| New River Strategies/GS Strategy Group | Oct 9 - 13, 2026 | General election | n=602 LV | Turek (D): 46% Hinson (R): 44% Laehn (L): 8% | D+2% | link | |
| YouGov | Oct 6 - 12, 2026 | General election | n=2245 LV | Turek (D): 47% Hinson (R): 46% Don't know: 4% | D+1% | link | |
| National Public Affairs | Rep | Oct 8 - 12, 2026 | General election | n=678 LV | Hinson (R): 48% Turek (D): 47% Don't know: 4% | R+1% | link |
| Marist University | Oct 8 - 11, 2026 | General election | n=1100 RV | Turek (D): 51% Hinson (R): 44% Don't know: 3% | D+7% | link | |
| Emerson College | Oct 5 - 6, 2026 | General election | n=650 LV | Hinson (R): 46.6% Turek (D): 45% Don't know: 7% | R+1.6% | link | |
| CNN/SSRS | Sep 29 - Oct 5, 2026 | General election | n=801 LV | Hinson (R): 45% Turek (D): 43% Neither: 8% | R+2% | link | |
| Suffolk University | Oct 1 - 4, 2026 | General election | n=500 LV | Turek (D): 48% Hinson (R): 43.6% Don't know: 6.2% | D+4.4% | link | |
| The New York Times/Siena University | Sep 22 - Oct 1, 2026 | General election | n=606 LV | Hinson (R): 47.83% Turek (D): 46.96% Don't know: 5.11% | R+0.9% | link | |
| Quantus Insights | Sep 28 - 29, 2026 | General election | n=738 LV | Hinson (R): 51.2% Turek (D): 48.8% | R+2.4% | link | |
| Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research | Sep 24 - 28, 2026 | General election | n=1204 RV | Turek (D): 50% Hinson (R): 46% Don't know: 3% | D+4% | link | |
| InsiderAdvantage | Sep 22 - 23, 2026 | General election | n=1200 LV | Turek (D): 47.4% Hinson (R): 45.7% Don't know: 4.4% | D+1.7% | link | |
| Marist University | Sep 17 - 20, 2026 | General election | n=1050 RV | Turek (D): 50% Hinson (R): 42% Don't know: 5% | D+8% | link | |
| Trafalgar Group | Rep | Sep 16 - 18, 2026 | General election | n=1089 LV | Hinson (R): 44% Turek (D): 42.1% Don't know: 10.4% | R+1.9% | link |
| co/efficient | Sep 14 - 16, 2026 | General election | n=831 LV | Republican (R): 48% Democrat (D): 43% Don't know: 8% | R+5% | link | |
| Cygnal Political | Rep | Sep 9 - 11, 2026 | General election | n=500 LV | Turek (D): 42.9% Hinson (R): 42.9% Don't know: 10.6% | TIE | link |
| YouGov | Sep 3 - 8, 2026 | General election | n=2041 LV | Turek (D): 47% Hinson (R): 43% Don't know: 8% | D+4% | link | |
| Emerson College | Aug 31 - Sep 1, 2026 | General election | n=750 LV | Hinson (R): 49.47% Turek (D): 45.05% Don't know: 4.71% | R+4.4% | link | |
| Global Strategy Group | Dem | Aug 27 - 31, 2026 | General election | n=800 LV | Turek (D): 46% Hinson (R): 42% Don't know: 6% | D+4% | link |
| Abacus Data | Aug 26 - 28, 2026 | General election | n=323 LV | Turek (D): 48% Hinson (R): 41% Don't know: 11% | D+7% | link | |
| Suffolk University | Aug 20 - 23, 2026 | General election | n=500 LV | Hinson (R): 45.4% Turek (D): 40.8% Don't know: 9.8% | R+4.6% | link | |
| Emerson College | Aug 2 - 4, 2026 | General election | n=712 LV | Hinson (R): 47.52% Turek (D): 44.98% Don't know: 6.07% | R+2.5% | link | |
| Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research | Jun 23 - 27, 2026 | General election | n=1003 RV | Turek (D): 50% Hinson (R): 46% Don't know: 4% | D+4% | link | |
| The New York Times/Siena University | Jun 15 - 27, 2026 | General election | n=600 LV | Hinson (R): 48.48% Turek (D): 46.01% Don't know: 5.2% | R+2.5% | link | |
| Cygnal Political | Rep | Jun 16 - 19, 2026 | General election | n=600 LV | Hinson (R): 46% Turek (D): 44.2% Don't know: 9.8% | R+1.8% | link |
| Global Strategy Group | Dem | Jun 8 - 11, 2026 | General election | n=1000 LV | Turek (D): 47% Hinson (R): 45% Don't know: 8% | D+2% | link |
| Public Policy Polling | Dem | Jun 3 - 4, 2026 | General election | n=557 RV | Hinson (R): 46% Turek (D): 46% Don't know: 7% | TIE | link |
| JMC Enterprises | May 27 - 28, 2026 | Primary | n=550 LV | Hinson (R): 61% Carlin (R): 22% Don't know: 17% | +39% | link | |
| Public Policy Polling | Dem | May 20 - 21, 2026 | Primary | n=672 LV | Turek (D): 52% Wahls (D): 31% | +21% | link |
| Public Policy Polling | Dem | May 5 - 6, 2026 | Primary | n=764 LV | Turek (D): 53% Wahls (D): 27% | +26% | link |
| FM3 Research | Dem | Apr 21 - 23, 2026 | Primary | n=600 LV | Turek (D): 48% Wahls (D): 28% Don't know: 24% | +20% | link |
| Echelon Insights | Apr 3 - 9, 2026 | General election | n=377 LV | Turek (D): 46% Hinson (R): 45% Don't know: 9% | D+1% | link | |
| Bedrock Polling | Dem | Mar 26 - 26, 2026 | Primary | n=1022 LV | Wahls (D): 56% Turek (D): 38% Don't know: 6% | +18% | link |
| GBAO | Dem | Mar 10 - 16, 2026 | General election | n=1200 LV | Hinson (R): 47% Wahls (D): 44% Don't know: 9% | R+3% | link |
| GQR | Dem | Feb 18 - 22, 2026 | Primary | n=605 LV | Wahls (D): 42% Don't know: 33% Turek (D): 24% | +18% | link |
| NRSC | Feb 16 - 18, 2026 | Primary | n=1923 LV | Don't know: 42% Wahls (D): 30% Turek (D): 23% | +7% | link | |
| Change Research | Jan 8 - 11, 2026 | General election | n=1108 LV | Hinson (R): 44% Sage (D): 41% Don't know: 14% | R+3% | link | |
| Public Policy Polling | Dem | Aug 18 - 19, 2025 | General election | n=572 RV | Ernst (R): 44% Turek (D): 43% | R+1% | link |
| Public Policy Polling | Dem | Jun 2 - 3, 2025 | General election | n=568 RV | Ernst (R): 45% Democrat (D): 43% Don't know: 12% | R+2% | link |
| Victory Insights | Dec 6 - 7, 2024 | Primary | n=600 LV | Ernst (R): 48% Someone else: 26.5% Don't know: 25.5% | link |
48 of 48 polls shown, most recent first. Every number is a single pollster's reported result — no polling average is calculated here. Partisan shows the source’s party flag; a blank means no partisan affiliation is marked.