In the most recent Arkansas Senate race poll (GrayHouse, Oct 27 - 28, 2026, n=509 LV), Cotton (R) leads with 55%, followed by Shoffner (D) at 39% and Wadlin (L) at 4%.
Data is synced continuously from the New York Times, which aggregates surveys from major pollsters. The table shows individual pollster results. The map uses the same 2026 non-partisan polling average and candidate-selection method as the homepage maps.
At a glance
- Polls tracked
- 7
- Pollsters
- 4
- Field dates
- Feb 9, 2026 – Oct 28, 2026
- Stages
- General election (7)
- Most recent poll
- Oct 28, 2026
All polls
| Pollster | Partisan | Field dates | Stage | Sample | Results | Margin | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GrayHouse | Rep | Oct 27 - 28, 2026 | General election | n=509 LV | Cotton (R): 55% Shoffner (D): 39% Wadlin (L): 4% | R+16% | link |
| Hendrix College | Oct 8 - 13, 2026 | General election | n=709 LV | Cotton (R): 50% Shoffner (D): 41% Don't know: 4.5% | R+9% | link | |
| GrayHouse | Rep | Sep 30 - Oct 4, 2026 | General election | n=550 LV | Cotton (R): 50% Shoffner (D): 39% Don't know: 7% | R+11% | link |
| J.L. Partners | Aug 14 - 18, 2026 | General election | n=803 LV | Cotton (R): 51% Shoffner (D): 35% Don't know: 11% | R+16% | link | |
| Hendrix College | Aug 11 - 12, 2026 | General election | n=1217 LV | Shoffner (D): 47.4% Cotton (R): 44% Don't know: 5.65% | D+3.4% | link | |
| 2040 Strategy Group | Dem | Jul 17 - 25, 2026 | General election | n=586 LV | Cotton (R): 46% Shoffner (D): 43% Don't know: 12% | R+3% | link |
| GrayHouse | Rep | Feb 7 - 9, 2026 | General election | n=550 LV | Cotton (R): 58% Shoffner (D): 36% Don't know: 7% | R+22% | link |
7 of 7 polls shown, most recent first. Every number is a single pollster's reported result — no polling average is calculated here. Partisan shows the source’s party flag; a blank means no partisan affiliation is marked.