In the most recent Pennsylvania 1st congressional district poll (The New York Times/Siena University, Oct 16 - 22, 2026, n=400 LV), Harvie (D) leads Fitzpatrick (R) 48.26%–45.83%.
Data is synced continuously from the New York Times, which aggregates surveys from major pollsters. The table shows individual pollster results. The map uses the same 2026 non-partisan polling average and candidate-selection method as the homepage maps.
At a glance
- Polls tracked
- 7
- Pollsters
- 5
- Field dates
- Oct 11, 2025 – Oct 22, 2026
- Stages
- General election (7)
- Most recent poll
- Oct 22, 2026
All polls
| Pollster | Partisan | Field dates | Stage | Sample | Results | Margin | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The New York Times/Siena University | Oct 16 - 22, 2026 | General election | n=400 LV | Harvie (D): 48.26% Fitzpatrick (R): 45.83% Don't know: 5.92% | D+2.4% | link | |
| Global Strategy Group | Dem | Oct 1 - 8, 2026 | General election | n=1032 LV | Fitzpatrick (R): 46% Harvie (D): 46% Don't know: 8% | TIE | link |
| Public Opinion Strategies | Rep | Sep 11 - 14, 2026 | General election | n=400 RV | Fitzpatrick (R): 51% Harvie (D): 42% | R+9% | link |
| GQR | Dem | Aug 19 - 23, 2026 | General election | n=400 LV | Fitzpatrick (R): 49% Harvie (D): 48% | R+1% | link |
| Global Strategy Group | Dem | Aug 5 - 9, 2026 | General election | n=500 LV | Fitzpatrick (R): 47% Harvie (D): 43% | R+4% | link |
| Global Strategy Group | Dem | Mar 19 - 22, 2026 | General election | n=400 LV | Fitzpatrick (R): 48% Harvie (D): 42% | R+6% | link |
| Public Policy Polling | Dem | Oct 10 - 11, 2025 | General election | n=585 LV | Fitzpatrick (R): 41% Harvie (D): 41% Don't know: 19% | TIE | link |
7 of 7 polls shown, most recent first. Every number is a single pollster's reported result — no polling average is calculated here. Partisan shows the source’s party flag; a blank means no partisan affiliation is marked.