In the most recent North Carolina 1st congressional district poll (co/efficient, Oct 6 - 8, 2026, n=623 LV), Buckhout (R) leads with 43%, followed by Davis (D) at 42% and Bailey (L) at 2%.
Data is synced continuously from the New York Times, which aggregates surveys from major pollsters. The table shows individual pollster results. The map uses the same 2026 non-partisan polling average and candidate-selection method as the homepage maps.
At a glance
- Polls tracked
- 8
- Pollsters
- 5
- Field dates
- Feb 2, 2026 – Oct 8, 2026
- Stages
- General election (7), Primary (1)
- Most recent poll
- Oct 8, 2026
All polls
| Pollster | Partisan | Field dates | Stage | Sample | Results | Margin | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| co/efficient | Rep | Oct 6 - 8, 2026 | General election | n=623 LV | Buckhout (R): 43% Davis (D): 42% Don't know: 13% | R+1% | link |
| Neighborhood Research Corporation | Oct 1 - 6, 2026 | General election | n=303 LV | Davis (D): 51% Buckhout (R): 41% | D+10% | link | |
| GQR | Dem | Sep 29 - Oct 4, 2026 | General election | n=500 LV | Davis (D): 47% Buckhout (R): 39% Don't know: 8% | D+8% | link |
| GBAO | Dem | Sep 8 - 11, 2026 | General election | n=500 LV | Davis (D): 50% Buckhout (R): 43% | D+7% | link |
| GQR | Dem | Jun 22 - 28, 2026 | General election | n=500 LV | Davis (D): 45% Buckhout (R): 41% Don't know: 8% | D+4% | link |
| co/efficient | Rep | Apr 25 - 29, 2026 | General election | n=842 LV | Davis (D): 41% Buckhout (R): 41% Don't know: 17% | TIE | link |
| Emerson College | Feb 6 - 8, 2026 | Primary | n=500 LV | Don't know: 35.6% Buckhout (R): 26% Buck (Asa) (R): 22.1% | +3.9% | link | |
| GQR | Dem | Jan 29 - Feb 2, 2026 | General election | n=500 LV | Republican (R): 47% Democrat (D): 43% Don't know: 10% | R+4% | link |
8 of 8 polls shown, most recent first. Every number is a single pollster's reported result — no polling average is calculated here. Partisan shows the source’s party flag; a blank means no partisan affiliation is marked.