In the most recent Montana 1st congressional district poll (Emerson College, Oct 31 - Nov 1, 2026, n=311 LV), Forstag (D) leads Flint (R) 48.8%–48.5%.
Data is synced continuously from the New York Times, which aggregates surveys from major pollsters. The table shows individual pollster results. The map uses the same 2026 non-partisan polling average and candidate-selection method as the homepage maps.
At a glance
- Polls tracked
- 13
- Pollsters
- 9
- Field dates
- Nov 25, 2025 – Nov 1, 2026
- Stages
- General election (12), Primary (1)
- Most recent poll
- Nov 1, 2026
All polls
| Pollster | Partisan | Field dates | Stage | Sample | Results | Margin | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | Oct 31 - Nov 1, 2026 | General election | n=311 LV | Forstag (D): 48.8% Flint (R): 48.5% | D+0.3% | link | |
| Montana State University Billings | Oct 5 - 21, 2026 | General election | n=287 A | Forstag (D): 49% Flint (R): 32% Don't know: 11% | D+17% | link | |
| Emerson College | Oct 12 - 14, 2026 | General election | n=329 LV | Forstag (D): 50% Flint (R): 46% | D+4% | link | |
| Public Policy Polling | Dem | Oct 12 - 14, 2026 | General election | — | Forstag (D): 48% Flint (R): 45% | D+3% | link |
| American Pulse Research & Polling | Sep 19 - 24, 2026 | General election | n=314 LV | Flint (R): 45.9% Forstag (D): 45.4% Sheedy (L): 5.4% | R+0.5% | link | |
| Impact Research | Dem | Sep 20 - 23, 2026 | General election | n=500 LV | Forstag (D): 47% Flint (R): 44% Don't know: 7% | D+3% | link |
| Public Policy Polling | Dem | Sep 9 - 10, 2026 | General election | n=536 RV | Republican (R): 48% Democrat (D): 44% | R+4% | link |
| Rutgers-Eagleton | Aug 27 - Sep 7, 2026 | General election | n=375 RV | Flint (R): 42% Forstag (D): 41% DK/Someone else: 9% | R+1% | link | |
| Impact Research | Dem | Jun 22 - 25, 2026 | General election | n=500 LV | Flint (R): 44% Forstag (D): 44% Don't know: 6% | TIE | link |
| Upswing Research | Dem | Apr 30 - May 5, 2026 | General election | n=401 LV | Flint (R): 48% Forstag (D): 43% | R+5% | link |
| Tulchin Research | Dem | Mar 28 - Apr 1, 2026 | Primary | n=400 LV | Busse (D): 35% Don't know: 27% Cleveland (D): 20% | +15% | link |
| Peak Insights | Rep | Jan 12 - 15, 2026 | General election | n=400 LV | Zinke (R): 48% Forstag (D): 38% Don't know: 14% | R+10% | link |
| Tulchin Research | Dem | Nov 22 - 25, 2025 | General election | n=424 LV | Busse (D): 47% Zinke (R): 43% Don't know: 10% | D+4% | link |
13 of 13 polls shown, most recent first. Every number is a single pollster's reported result — no polling average is calculated here. Partisan shows the source’s party flag; a blank means no partisan affiliation is marked.