Primary polling only. No general-election polls are currently available for this race.
In the most recent Kentucky 4th district primary poll (GrayHouse, May 16 - 17, 2026, n=435 LV), Gallrein (R) leads Massie (R) 51%–44%.
Data is synced continuously from the New York Times, which aggregates surveys from major pollsters. The table shows individual pollster results. The map uses the same 2026 non-partisan polling average and candidate-selection method as the homepage maps.
At a glance
- Polls tracked
- 7
- Pollsters
- 5
- Field dates
- Jun 24, 2025 – May 17, 2026
- Stages
- Primary (7)
- Most recent poll
- May 17, 2026
All polls
| Pollster | Partisan | Field dates | Stage | Sample | Results | Margin | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GrayHouse | May 16 - 17, 2026 | Primary | n=435 LV | Gallrein (R): 51% Massie (R): 44% Don't know: 5% | +7% | link | |
| Neighborhood Research Corporation | May 12 - 15, 2026 | Primary | n=291 LV | Gallrein (R): 39% Massie (R): 39% | TIE | link | |
| Big Data Poll | May 12 - 14, 2026 | Primary | n=518 LV | Massie (R): 50.6% Gallrein (R): 49.4% | +1.2% | link | |
| Quantus Insights | May 11 - 12, 2026 | Primary | n=908 LV | Gallrein (R): 52.8% Massie (R): 45.1% Don't know: 2.1% | +7.7% | link | |
| Big Data Poll | Apr 3 - 7, 2026 | Primary | n=433 LV | Massie (R): 52.4% Gallrein (R): 47.6% | +4.8% | link | |
| Quantus Insights | Apr 6 - 7, 2026 | Primary | n=438 LV | Massie (R): 46.8% Gallrein (R): 37.7% Don't know: 14.1% | +9.1% | link | |
| Kaplan Strategies | Jun 23 - 24, 2025 | Primary | n=368 LV | Don't know: 51% Ethington (R): 31% Massie (R): 19% | +12% | link |
7 of 7 polls shown, most recent first. Every number is a single pollster's reported result — no polling average is calculated here. Partisan shows the source’s party flag; a blank means no partisan affiliation is marked.