Primary polling only. No general-election polls are currently available for this race.
In the most recent Hawaii 1st district primary poll (Blueprint Polling, Jul 24 - 24, 2026, n=278 LV), Keohokalole (D) leads Case (D) 47.3%–37.8%.
Data is synced continuously from the New York Times, which aggregates surveys from major pollsters. The table shows individual pollster results. The map uses the same 2026 non-partisan polling average and candidate-selection method as the homepage maps.
At a glance
- Polls tracked
- 3
- Pollsters
- 2
- Field dates
- Oct 14, 2025 – Jul 24, 2026
- Stages
- Primary (3)
- Most recent poll
- Jul 24, 2026
All polls
| Pollster | Partisan | Field dates | Stage | Sample | Results | Margin | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blueprint Polling | Dem | Jul 24 - 24, 2026 | Primary | n=278 LV | Keohokalole (D): 47.3% Case (D): 37.8% Don't know: 14.9% | +9.5% | link |
| Blueprint Polling | Dem | Jul 7 - 8, 2026 | Primary | — | Don't know: 42% Case (D): 33% Keohokalole (D): 25% | +8% | link |
| Data for Progress | Dem | Oct 6 - 14, 2025 | Primary | n=366 LV | Case (D): 44% Don't know: 29% Au Bellati (D): 26% | +18% | link |
3 of 3 polls shown, most recent first. Every number is a single pollster's reported result — no polling average is calculated here. Partisan shows the source’s party flag; a blank means no partisan affiliation is marked.