2026 Arizona 1st District Polls

Polls tracking the 2026 U.S. House race in Arizona's 1st Congressional District. Data is synced from the New York Times, which aggregates surveys from major pollsters active in the district.

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In the most recent Arizona 1st congressional district poll (Keating Research, Inc., Oct 26 - 28, 2026, n=500 LV), Shah (D) leads Feely (R) 49.4%–45%.

Data is synced continuously from the New York Times, which aggregates surveys from major pollsters. The table shows individual pollster results. The map uses the same 2026 non-partisan polling average and candidate-selection method as the homepage maps.

At a glance

Polls tracked
7
Pollsters
6
Field dates
Nov 5, 2025 – Oct 28, 2026
Stages
General election (4), Primary (3)
Most recent poll
Oct 28, 2026
Arizona district 1: D +3.6
Arizona district 1 · D +3.6 2026 non-partisan polling · 2 polls

All polls

PollsterPartisanField datesStageSampleResultsMarginSource
Keating Research, Inc.Oct 26 - 28, 2026General electionn=500 LV
Shah (D): 49.4%
Feely (R): 45%
Don't know: 5.64%
D+4.4%link
FirstStrategic Communications and Public AffairsOct 1 - 1, 2026General electionn=400 RV
Shah (D): 44.4%
Feely (R): 41.6%
Don't know: 14%
D+2.8%link
NextGenPJun 16 - 17, 2026Primaryn=695 LV
Don't know: 46.2%
Feely (R): 25%
Chaplik (R): 23.1%
+1.9%link
NextGenPApr 13 - 16, 2026Primaryn=409 RV
Don't know: 54%
Chaplik (R): 24%
Feely (R): 15%
+9%link
HighGroundFeb 21 - 23, 2026Primaryn=400 LV
Don't know: 50.5%
Shah (D): 32.5%
Galan-Woods (D): 11%
+21.5%link
GrayHouseNov 15 - 17, 2025General electionn=500 LV
Democrat (D): 43%
Swoboda (R): 40%
Don't know: 17%
D+3%link
Clarity Campaign LabsDemNov 1 - 5, 2025General electionn=676 LV
Republican (R): 46%
Democrat (D): 45%
R+1%link

7 of 7 polls shown, most recent first. Every number is a single pollster's reported result — no polling average is calculated here. Partisan shows the source’s party flag; a blank means no partisan affiliation is marked.