In the most recent Virginia governor race poll (Quantus Insights, Nov 3 - 3, 2025, n=1201 LV), Spanberger (D) leads Earle-Sears (R) 52.6%–43.9%.
Data is synced continuously from the New York Times, which aggregates surveys from major pollsters. The table shows individual pollster results. The map uses the same 2026 non-partisan polling average and candidate-selection method as the homepage maps.
At a glance
- Polls tracked
- 52
- Pollsters
- 27
- Field dates
- Sep 10, 2023 – Nov 3, 2025
- Stages
- General election (52)
- Most recent poll
- Nov 3, 2025
All polls
| Pollster | Partisan | Field dates | Stage | Sample | Results | Margin | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quantus Insights | Nov 3 - 3, 2025 | General election | n=1201 LV | Spanberger (D): 52.6% Earle-Sears (R): 43.9% Don't know: 2.6% | D+8.7% | link | |
| Research Co. | Nov 2 - 3, 2025 | General election | n=450 LV | Spanberger (D): 51% Earle-Sears (R): 43% Don't know: 6% | D+8% | link | |
| InsiderAdvantage | Nov 2 - 3, 2025 | General election | n=800 LV | Spanberger (D): 50% Earle-Sears (R): 39.8% Charles (I): 5.3% | D+10.2% | link | |
| Trafalgar Group | Rep | Nov 1 - 2, 2025 | General election | n=1057 LV | Spanberger (D): 49.8% Earle-Sears (R): 43.3% Don't know: 5.9% | D+6.5% | link |
| Echelon Insights | Oct 28 - 31, 2025 | General election | n=606 LV | Spanberger (D): 55% Earle-Sears (R): 43% Don't know: 2% | D+12% | link | |
| Emerson College | Oct 30 - 31, 2025 | General election | n=880 LV | Spanberger (D): 55.6% Earle-Sears (R): 44.4% | D+11.2% | link | |
| AtlasIntel | Oct 25 - 30, 2025 | General election | n=1325 LV | Spanberger (D): 53.9% Earle-Sears (R): 45.2% Don't know: 0.7% | D+8.7% | link | |
| YouGov | Oct 17 - 28, 2025 | General election | n=1169 LV | Spanberger (D): 57% Earle-Sears (R): 42% Someone else: 2% | D+15% | link | |
| Trafalgar Group/InsiderAdvantage | Oct 27 - 28, 2025 | General election | n=800 LV | Spanberger (D): 45.9% Earle-Sears (R): 41.8% Don't know: 7.9% | D+4.1% | link | |
| State Navigate | Oct 26 - 28, 2025 | General election | n=614 LV | Spanberger (D): 54.49% Earle-Sears (R): 41.08% Don't know: 4.44% | D+13.4% | link | |
| Roanoke College | Oct 22 - 27, 2025 | General election | n=1041 LV | Spanberger (D): 51% Earle-Sears (R): 41% Don't know: 6% | D+10% | link | |
| A2 Insights | Oct 24 - 26, 2025 | General election | n=776 LV | Spanberger (D): 53.6% Earle-Sears (R): 45.5% Don't know: 0.7% | D+8.1% | link | |
| Christopher Newport University | Oct 21 - 23, 2025 | General election | n=803 LV | Spanberger (D): 50% Earle-Sears (R): 43% Don't know: 6% | D+7% | link | |
| Suffolk University | Oct 19 - 21, 2025 | General election | n=500 LV | Spanberger (D): 51.8% Earle-Sears (R): 43.2% Don't know: 1.4% | D+8.6% | link | |
| The Washington Post/George Mason University Schar School of Policy and Government | Oct 16 - 20, 2025 | General election | n=927 RV | Spanberger (D): 53% Earle-Sears (R): 40% Don't know: 3% | D+13% | link | |
| State Navigate | Oct 17 - 20, 2025 | General election | n=689 LV | Spanberger (D): 55.21% Earle-Sears (R): 41.89% Don't know: 2.89% | D+13.3% | link | |
| Quantus Insights | Oct 19 - 20, 2025 | General election | n=1302 LV | Spanberger (D): 51% Earle-Sears (R): 46% Don't know: 2% | D+5% | link | |
| Kaplan Strategies | Oct 16 - 18, 2025 | General election | n=556 LV | Spanberger (D): 51% Earle-Sears (R): 41% Don't know: 7% | D+10% | link | |
| Clarity Campaign Labs | Dem | Oct 14 - 17, 2025 | General election | n=958 LV | Spanberger (D): 53% Earle-Sears (R): 43% Don't know: 4% | D+10% | link |
| co/efficient | Oct 15 - 17, 2025 | General election | n=937 LV | Spanberger (D): 49% Earle-Sears (R): 44% Don't know: 6% | D+5% | link | |
| Trafalgar Group/InsiderAdvantage | Oct 13 - 15, 2025 | General election | n=1039 LV | Spanberger (D): 47.5% Earle-Sears (R): 45.3% Don't know: 6.4% | D+2.2% | link | |
| Virginia Commonwealth University | Oct 6 - 14, 2025 | General election | n=784 RV | Spanberger (D): 49% Earle-Sears (R): 42% | D+7% | link | |
| Trafalgar Group | Rep | Oct 8 - 10, 2025 | General election | n=1066 LV | Spanberger (D): 47.7% Earle-Sears (R): 45.1% Don't know: 5.6% | D+2.6% | link |
| Public Policy Polling | Dem | Oct 7 - 8, 2025 | General election | n=558 RV | Spanberger (D): 52% Earle-Sears (R): 43% Don't know: 5% | D+9% | link |
| Cygnal Political | Rep | Oct 6 - 7, 2025 | General election | n=600 LV | Spanberger (D): 49.2% Earle-Sears (R): 45.2% Don't know: 5.6% | D+4% | link |
| Christopher Newport University | Sep 29 - Oct 1, 2025 | General election | n=805 LV | Spanberger (D): 52% Earle-Sears (R): 42% Don't know: 6% | D+10% | link | |
| Trafalgar Group | Rep | Sep 29 - Oct 1, 2025 | General election | n=1034 LV | Spanberger (D): 47.1% Earle-Sears (R): 41.9% Don't know: 9.4% | D+5.2% | link |
| The Washington Post/George Mason University Schar School of Policy and Government | Sep 25 - 29, 2025 | General election | n=1002 LV | Spanberger (D): 55% Earle-Sears (R): 43% No opinion: 2% | D+12% | link | |
| Emerson College | Sep 28 - 29, 2025 | General election | n=725 LV | Spanberger (D): 51.9% Earle-Sears (R): 42% Don't know: 4.7% | D+9.9% | link | |
| A2 Insights | Sep 26 - 28, 2025 | General election | n=771 LV | Spanberger (D): 47.7% Earle-Sears (R): 44.6% Don't know: 6.4% | D+3.1% | link | |
| co/efficient | Sep 22 - 23, 2025 | General election | n=1024 LV | Spanberger (D): 49% Earle-Sears (R): 43% Don't know: 7% | D+6% | link | |
| Christopher Newport University | Sep 8 - 14, 2025 | General election | n=808 LV | Spanberger (D): 52% Earle-Sears (R): 40% Don't know: 8% | D+12% | link | |
| Cygnal Political | Rep | Sep 5 - 7, 2025 | General election | n=600 LV | Spanberger (D): 50.3% Earle-Sears (R): 43.2% Don't know: 6.6% | D+7.1% | link |
| Pulse Decision Science | Rep | Sep 3 - 5, 2025 | General election | n=512 LV | Spanberger (D): 48% Earle-Sears (R): 43% Don't know: 8% | D+5% | link |
| Virginia Commonwealth University | Aug 18 - 28, 2025 | General election | n=764 RV | Spanberger (D): 49% Earle-Sears (R): 40% Don't know: 10% | D+9% | link | |
| co/efficient | Aug 23 - 26, 2025 | General election | n=1025 LV | Spanberger (D): 48% Earle-Sears (R): 43% Don't know: 7% | D+5% | link | |
| Roanoke College | Aug 11 - 15, 2025 | General election | n=602 LV | Spanberger (D): 46% Earle-Sears (R): 39% Don't know: 14% | D+7% | link | |
| Wick | Rep | Jul 9 - 11, 2025 | General election | n=1000 LV | Spanberger (D): 50.4% Earle-Sears (R): 40% Don't know: 7.4% | D+10.4% | link |
| American Directions Research Group | Jun 25 - Jul 8, 2025 | General election | n=1001 RV | Spanberger (D): 49% Earle-Sears (R): 34% Don't know: 9% | D+15% | link | |
| Virginia Commonwealth University | Jun 19 - Jul 3, 2025 | General election | n=764 RV | Spanberger (D): 49.1% Earle-Sears (R): 37.1% Don't know: 12% | D+12% | link | |
| co/efficient | Jun 8 - 10, 2025 | General election | n=1127 LV | Spanberger (D): 46% Earle-Sears (R): 43% Don't know: 9% | D+3% | link | |
| Roanoke College | May 12 - 19, 2025 | General election | n=609 RV | Spanberger (D): 43% Don't know: 28% Earle-Sears (R): 26% | D+17% | link | |
| Pantheon Insights/HarrisX | May 9 - 13, 2025 | General election | n=1000 LV | Spanberger (D): 48% Earle-Sears (R): 45% Riggleman (I): 7% | D+3% | link | |
| Cygnal Political | Feb 26 - 27, 2025 | General election | n=600 LV | Spanberger (D): 46% Earle-Sears (R): 40% Don't know: 14% | D+6% | link | |
| Roanoke College | Feb 17 - 20, 2025 | General election | n=690 RV | Spanberger (D): 39% Don't know: 32% Earle-Sears (R): 24% | D+15% | link | |
| co/efficient | Jan 18 - 20, 2025 | General election | n=867 LV | Earle-Sears (R): 40% Spanberger (D): 40% Don't know: 15% | TIE | link | |
| Virginia Commonwealth University | Dec 18, 2024 - Jan 15, 2025 | General election | n=806 A | Spanberger (D): 44% Earle-Sears (R): 34% Don't know: 17% | D+10% | link | |
| Christopher Newport University | Jan 6 - 13, 2025 | General election | n=806 RV | Spanberger (D): 44% Earle-Sears (R): 39% Don't know: 16% | D+5% | link | |
| Emerson College | Jan 6 - 8, 2025 | General election | n=1000 RV | Spanberger (D): 42% Earle-Sears (R): 41% Don't know: 13% | D+1% | link | |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. | Dec 15 - 19, 2024 | General election | n=625 RV | Earle-Sears (R): 46% Scott (D): 44% | R+2% | link | |
| Research America Inc. | Sep 3 - 9, 2024 | General election | n=1000 A | Earle-Sears (R): 39% Spanberger (D): 39% Don't know: 13% | TIE | link | |
| co/efficient | Sep 7 - 10, 2023 | General election | n=834 LV | Don't know: 47% Spanberger (D): 27% Earle-Sears (R): 26% | D+1% | link |
52 of 52 polls shown, most recent first. Every number is a single pollster's reported result — no polling average is calculated here. Partisan shows the source’s party flag; a blank means no partisan affiliation is marked.