In the most recent Tennessee governor race poll (Targoz Market Research, Oct 24, 2025 - Nov 2, 2026, n=718 LV), Blackburn (R) leads with 54%, followed by Green (Jerri) (D) at 35%, Hatley (I) at 7% and Pinkston (I) at 1%.
Data is synced continuously from the New York Times, which aggregates surveys from major pollsters. The table shows individual pollster results. The map uses the same 2026 non-partisan polling average and candidate-selection method as the homepage maps.
At a glance
- Polls tracked
- 17
- Pollsters
- 9
- Field dates
- Jan 16, 2025 – Nov 2, 2026
- Stages
- General election (7), Primary (10)
- Most recent poll
- Nov 2, 2026
All polls
| Pollster | Partisan | Field dates | Stage | Sample | Results | Margin | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Targoz Market Research | Oct 24, 2025 - Nov 2, 2026 | General election | n=718 LV | Blackburn (R): 54% Green (Jerri) (D): 35% Hatley (I): 7% | R+19% | link | |
| Spry Strategies | Oct 10 - 16, 2026 | General election | n=635 LV | Blackburn (R): 43.5% Green (Jerri) (D): 32% Hatley (I): 11.9% | R+11.5% | link | |
| TargetSmart | Dem | Sep 9 - 12, 2026 | General election | n=600 LV | Blackburn (R): 45% Green (Jerri) (D): 36% Hatley (I): 10% | R+9% | link |
| Targoz Market Research | Aug 15 - 26, 2026 | General election | n=601 LV | Blackburn (R): 55% Green (Jerri) (D): 34% Independent (I): 7% | R+21% | link | |
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates | Rep | Jul 26 - 28, 2026 | Primary | n=800 LV | Blackburn (R): 42% Rose (John) (R): 25% Fritts (R): 22% | +17% | link |
| OnMessage Inc. | Jul 23 - 25, 2026 | Primary | n=800 LV | Blackburn (R): 34.5% Rose (John) (R): 31% Fritts (R): 25.6% | +3.5% | link | |
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates | Rep | Jun 28 - 30, 2026 | Primary | n=800 LV | Blackburn (R): 51% Rose (John) (R): 20% Don't know: 16% | +31% | link |
| McLaughlin & Associates | Rep | Jun 28 - 30, 2026 | Primary | n=600 LV | Blackburn (R): 44% Rose (John) (R): 29% Don't know: 15% | +15% | link |
| Targoz Market Research | Apr 20 - 27, 2026 | General election | n=1157 RV | Blackburn (R): 51% Green (Jerri) (D): 27% DK/Someone else: 22% | R+24% | link | |
| VictoryPhones | Rep | Mar 18 - 24, 2026 | Primary | n=300 LV | Blackburn (R): 56.1% Don't know: 19.7% Rose (John) (R): 13.8% | +42.3% | link |
| Cygnal Political | Mar 16 - 17, 2026 | Primary | n=500 LV | Blackburn (R): 58% Don't know: 30% Rose (John) (R): 7% | +51% | link | |
| VictoryPhones | Rep | Feb 5 - 8, 2026 | Primary | n=275 LV | Blackburn (R): 60.6% Don't know: 26.1% Rose (John) (R): 8.1% | +52.5% | link |
| Targoz Market Research | Jan 11 - 18, 2026 | Primary | n=559 RV | Blackburn (R): 56% Don't know: 28% Rose (John) (R): 9% | +47% | link | |
| Targoz Market Research | Oct 26 - 29, 2025 | Primary | n=545 LV | Blackburn (R): 58% Don't know: 28% Rose (John) (R): 9% | +49% | link | |
| Quantus Insights | Aug 5 - 7, 2025 | General election | n=600 RV | Blackburn (R): 49% Green (Jerri) (D): 28% Don't know: 17% | R+21% | link | |
| Targoz Market Research | Jul 27 - Aug 1, 2025 | General election | n=1167 RV | Rose (John) (R): 49% Democrat (D): 30% Don't know: 21% | R+19% | link | |
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates | Rep | Jan 13 - 16, 2025 | Primary | n=800 LV | Blackburn (R): 71% Don't know: 16% Rose (John) (R): 13% | +58% | link |
17 of 17 polls shown, most recent first. Every number is a single pollster's reported result — no polling average is calculated here. Partisan shows the source’s party flag; a blank means no partisan affiliation is marked.