In the most recent New Hampshire governor race poll (AtlasIntel, Oct 28 - Nov 1, 2026, n=1057 LV), Ayotte (R) leads Warmington (D) 49.7%–43.8%.
Data is synced continuously from the New York Times, which aggregates surveys from major pollsters. The table shows individual pollster results. The map uses the same 2026 non-partisan polling average and candidate-selection method as the homepage maps.
At a glance
- Polls tracked
- 20
- Pollsters
- 9
- Field dates
- Oct 13, 2025 – Nov 1, 2026
- Stages
- General election (20)
- Most recent poll
- Nov 1, 2026
All polls
| Pollster | Partisan | Field dates | Stage | Sample | Results | Margin | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlasIntel | Oct 28 - Nov 1, 2026 | General election | n=1057 LV | Ayotte (R): 49.7% Warmington (D): 43.8% Don't know: 4.1% | R+5.9% | link | |
| University of New Hampshire | Oct 27 - 31, 2026 | General election | n=2026 LV | Warmington (D): 48% Ayotte (R): 48% Villee (L): 2% | TIE | link | |
| National Public Affairs | Rep | Oct 25 - 29, 2026 | General election | n=800 LV | Ayotte (R): 52% Warmington (D): 43% Villee (L): 3% | R+9% | link |
| St. Anselm | Oct 19 - 20, 2026 | General election | n=1672 LV | Ayotte (R): 50% Warmington (D): 42% Don't know: 5% | R+8% | link | |
| UMass Lowell | Oct 2 - 19, 2026 | General election | n=600 LV | Ayotte (R): 48% Warmington (D): 42% Don't know: 7% | R+6% | link | |
| National Public Affairs | Rep | Oct 8 - 12, 2026 | General election | n=600 LV | Ayotte (R): 54% Warmington (D): 38% Don't know: 5% | R+16% | link |
| YouGov | Sep 28 - Oct 5, 2026 | General election | n=1520 LV | Ayotte (R): 49% Warmington (D): 40% Don't know: 11% | R+9% | link | |
| St. Anselm | Sep 28 - 29, 2026 | General election | n=1042 LV | Ayotte (R): 52% Warmington (D): 45% Someone else: 2% | R+7% | link | |
| The New York Times/Siena University | Sep 15 - 22, 2026 | General election | n=613 LV | Ayotte (R): 52.31% Warmington (D): 40.84% Don't know: 6.31% | R+11.5% | link | |
| University of New Hampshire | Sep 17 - 21, 2026 | General election | n=1407 LV | Ayotte (R): 47% Warmington (D): 43% Don't know: 7% | R+4% | link | |
| co/efficient | Sep 9 - 11, 2026 | General election | n=958 LV | Ayotte (R): 55% Warmington (D): 34% Don't know: 9% | R+21% | link | |
| University of New Hampshire | Aug 20 - 24, 2026 | General election | n=1878 LV | Ayotte (R): 49% Warmington (D): 39% Don't know: 9% | R+10% | link | |
| St. Anselm | Aug 17 - 18, 2026 | General election | n=1411 LV | Ayotte (R): 49% Warmington (D): 38% Don't know: 13% | R+11% | link | |
| St. Anselm | Jun 24 - 25, 2026 | General election | n=1614 RV | Ayotte (R): 45% Warmington (D): 37% Don't know: 18% | R+8% | link | |
| University of New Hampshire | Jun 18 - 23, 2026 | General election | n=2221 LV | Ayotte (R): 44% Warmington (D): 39% Don't know: 13% | R+5% | link | |
| University of New Hampshire | Apr 17 - 21, 2026 | General election | n=1117 LV | Ayotte (R): 47% Warmington (D): 39% Don't know: 10% | R+8% | link | |
| St. Anselm | Mar 16 - 18, 2026 | General election | n=1491 RV | Ayotte (R): 46% Warmington (D): 39% Don't know: 15% | R+7% | link | |
| yes. every kid. foundation. | Jan 28 - 29, 2026 | General election | n=563 LV | Ayotte (R): 47% Kiper (D): 37% Don't know: 13% | R+10% | link | |
| University of New Hampshire | Jan 15 - 19, 2026 | General election | n=2027 LV | Ayotte (R): 49% McEachern (D): 41% Don't know: 10% | R+8% | link | |
| co/efficient | Oct 9 - 13, 2025 | General election | n=1034 LV | Ayotte (R): 43% Democrat (D): 40% Don't know: 17% | R+3% | link |
20 of 20 polls shown, most recent first. Every number is a single pollster's reported result — no polling average is calculated here. Partisan shows the source’s party flag; a blank means no partisan affiliation is marked.